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Tropical Depression Omar Public Advisory Number 16
2020-09-04 16:41:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST Fri Sep 04 2020 000 WTNT35 KNHC 041441 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Omar Advisory Number 16 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152020 1100 AM AST Fri Sep 04 2020 ...OMAR COULD BECOME A REMNANT LOW AT ANY TIME... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...35.2N 57.8W ABOUT 450 MI...720 KM ENE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Omar was located near latitude 35.2 North, longitude 57.8 West. The depression is moving toward the east near 6 mph (9 km/h). A northeast to north-northeastward motion is expected to begin by tonight and should continue through Saturday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Slow weakening is forecast during the next day or two. Omar could become a remnant low at any time today and is expected to dissipate over the weekend. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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Tropical Depression Omar Forecast Advisory Number 16
2020-09-04 16:41:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI SEP 04 2020 000 WTNT25 KNHC 041441 TCMAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OMAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152020 1500 UTC FRI SEP 04 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.2N 57.8W AT 04/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.2N 57.8W AT 04/1500Z AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.3N 58.0W FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 35.8N 57.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 37.1N 56.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 39.0N 55.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.2N 57.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
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Tropical Depression Omar Graphics
2020-09-04 10:37:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 04 Sep 2020 08:37:07 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 04 Sep 2020 09:24:50 GMT
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Tropical Depression Omar Forecast Discussion Number 15
2020-09-04 10:36:01| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST Fri Sep 04 2020 000 WTNT45 KNHC 040835 TCDAT5 Tropical Depression Omar Discussion Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152020 500 AM AST Fri Sep 04 2020 Although it is situated over fairly warm waters of a little over 27 deg C, Omar has been producing very little deep convection overnight while it continues to be affected by strong northerly shear. Some dry air is also being entrained into the circulation. The current intensity of 25 kt is based on continuity from earlier scatterometer measurements. If the lack of convection continues, Omar will be declared a remnant low pressure system later today. In any event, the cyclone should become absorbed by a frontal trough within a couple of days. After turning east-southeastward, Omar is now headed east at a rather slow pace, or 090/6 kt. The system should turn toward the northeast and accelerate ahead of a large mid-level trough within 36-48 hours. The official forecast is somewhat faster than the previous one but slower than the latest track model consensus predictions. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 04/0900Z 35.3N 58.5W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 04/1800Z 35.6N 57.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 05/0600Z 36.5N 57.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 05/1800Z 38.1N 56.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 06/0600Z 40.5N 54.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 06/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Pasch
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Summary for Tropical Depression Omar (AT5/AL152020)
2020-09-04 10:35:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...OMAR SOON TO BE A REMNANT LOW... As of 5:00 AM AST Fri Sep 4 the center of Omar was located near 35.3, -58.5 with movement E at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.
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