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Summary for Tropical Depression Twenty-five-E (EP5/EP252018)
2018-11-02 21:40:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...LATE-SEASON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS SOUTHWEST OF MEXICO... As of 3:00 PM MDT Fri Nov 2 the center of Twenty-five-E was located near 14.4, -109.0 with movement ENE at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression Twenty-five-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
2018-11-02 21:40:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI NOV 02 2018 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 022040 PWSEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FIVE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP252018 2100 UTC FRI NOV 02 2018 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FIVE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) 15N 105W 34 X 3( 3) 5( 8) 3(11) 3(14) X(14) 1(15) MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) L CARDENAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 15N 110W 34 2 2( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) 2(10) 2(12) 1(13) 20N 110W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) 2(10) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) $$ FORECASTER BERG
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Summary for Tropical Depression Willa (EP4/EP242018)
2018-10-24 10:36:05| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...WILLA WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION OVER WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO... ...HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED OVER WEST-CENTRAL AND NORTHERN MEXICO... As of 4:00 AM CDT Wed Oct 24 the center of Willa was located near 24.4, -103.6 with movement NE at 25 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1000 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression Willa Public Advisory Number 17
2018-10-24 10:36:05| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 400 AM CDT Wed Oct 24 2018 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 240835 CCA TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Willa Advisory Number 17...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP242018 400 AM CDT Wed Oct 24 2018 Corrected location relative to Durango Mexico ...WILLA WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION OVER WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO... ...HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED OVER WEST-CENTRAL AND NORTHERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.4N 103.6W ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM ENE OF DURANGO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 25 MPH...41 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Willa was located near latitude 24.4 North, longitude 103.6 West. The depression is moving toward the northeast near 25 mph (41 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue today. The forecast track will continue to bring Wilma farther inland over west-central and northern Mexico. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Further weakening is forecast and Willa is expected to dissipate by early afternoon. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- STORM SURGE: Storm surge levels along portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico in southern Sinaloa and Nayarit will gradually subside this morning. RAINFALL: Rainfall associated with Willa will continue to diminish today as the depression weakens. Additional rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches with maximum totals of 6 inches possible from eastern Durango, northern Zacateca and southern Coahuila. This rain will cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. WIND: Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains are often up to 30 percent stronger than the near-surface winds indicated in this advisory. SURF: Large swells generated by Willa will continue to affect portions of the coast of southwestern and west-central mainland Mexico, and the coast of the southern Baja California peninsula during the next day or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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Tropical Depression Willa Graphics
2018-10-24 10:36:00| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 24 Oct 2018 08:36:00 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 24 Oct 2018 09:21:49 GMT
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