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Tropical Depression EIGHT-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2
2017-07-18 22:34:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE JUL 18 2017 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 182034 PWSEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082017 2100 UTC TUE JUL 18 2017 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 119.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 120W 34 20 8(28) 1(29) X(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30) 10N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 15N 125W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 9(11) 5(16) 2(18) 15N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 15N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 15N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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Tropical Depression EIGHT-E Forecast Advisory Number 2
2017-07-18 22:34:17| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE JUL 18 2017 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 182034 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082017 2100 UTC TUE JUL 18 2017 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 119.4W AT 18/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 119.4W AT 18/2100Z AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 119.2W FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 14.7N 120.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 14.4N 120.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 14.0N 121.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 13.7N 122.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 13.7N 123.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 14.0N 126.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 14.5N 131.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 119.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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Summary for Tropical Depression EIGHT-E (EP3/EP082017)
2017-07-18 22:34:13| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...POORLY ORGANIZED DEPRESSION MOVING WESTWARD... As of 2:00 PM PDT Tue Jul 18 the center of EIGHT-E was located near 14.9, -119.4 with movement W at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression EIGHT-E Public Advisory Number 2
2017-07-18 22:34:13| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT Tue Jul 18 2017 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 182034 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Eight-E Advisory Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082017 200 PM PDT Tue Jul 18 2017 ...POORLY ORGANIZED DEPRESSION MOVING WESTWARD... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.9N 119.4W ABOUT 830 MI...1335 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Eight-E was located near latitude 14.9 North, longitude 119.4 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 5 mph (7 km/h). A turn toward the southwest is expected later today, and a slow southwestward motion is forecast to continue through Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next couple of days. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Brown
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Tropical Depression Eight-E Graphics
2017-07-18 16:55:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 18 Jul 2017 14:55:19 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 18 Jul 2017 14:55:19 GMT
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