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Summary for Tropical Depression Four-E (EP4/EP042019)

2019-07-13 10:31:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...DEPRESSION HANGING ON BUT EXPECTED TO WEAKEN OVER THE WEEKEND... As of 3:00 AM MDT Sat Jul 13 the center of Four-E was located near 16.8, -109.7 with movement NW at 15 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

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Tropical Depression Four-E Public Advisory Number 3

2019-07-13 10:31:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 300 AM MDT Sat Jul 13 2019 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 130831 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Four-E Advisory Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042019 300 AM MDT Sat Jul 13 2019 ...DEPRESSION HANGING ON BUT EXPECTED TO WEAKEN OVER THE WEEKEND... SUMMARY OF 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.8N 109.7W ABOUT 420 MI...680 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Four-E was located near latitude 16.8 North, longitude 109.7 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h) and a turn to the west-northwest is expected by tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. The depression is expected to begin weakening later today and should become a remnant low on Sunday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Latto/Cangialosi

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Tropical Depression Four-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3

2019-07-13 10:31:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC SAT JUL 13 2019 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 130831 PWSEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042019 0900 UTC SAT JUL 13 2019 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA CLARION 34 X 8( 8) 8(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) $$ FORECASTER LATTO/CANGIALOSI

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Tropical Depression Four-E Forecast Advisory Number 3

2019-07-13 10:31:27| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC SAT JUL 13 2019 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 130831 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042019 0900 UTC SAT JUL 13 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 109.7W AT 13/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 109.7W AT 13/0900Z AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 109.2W FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 17.6N 111.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 18.0N 114.1W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 18.3N 116.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N 109.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z $$ FORECASTER LATTO/CANGIALOSI

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