Home › discussion
 

Keywords :   


Tag: discussion

GMO labeling discussion heats up, deadline looming

2016-06-20 11:45:00| National Hog Farmer

The GMO labeling discussion heats up with only four legislative days left before the Vermont GMO labeling law goes into effect. read more

Tags: discussion deadline labeling gmo

 

Tropical Depression FOUR Forecast Discussion Number 3

2016-06-20 10:51:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 400 AM CDT MON JUN 20 2016 000 WTNT44 KNHC 200851 TCDAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042016 400 AM CDT MON JUN 20 2016 Observations from an Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft investigating the tropical cyclone indicate that it has not strengthened, with no increase in flight-level winds and no significant fall in central pressure since the last mission on Sunday afternoon. Data from the aircraft show some elongation of the circulation from northwest to southeast, and this elongation was also suggested in a recent ASCAT overpass as well as in recent GFS model surface wind forecasts. Very cold cloud tops developed near the center, but the area of convection is rather shapeless with little evidence of banding features. The current intensity is held at 30 kt. There is now only a short time remaining for strengthening but since the shear has relaxed somewhat over the system, it could still become a tropical storm before reaching the coast. The official intensity forecast is slightly above the latest LGEM guidance. After landfall, weakening over the mountainous terrain of eastern Mexico is likely, and the system should dissipate on Tuesday. A slow westward motion, at around 280/6 kt, continues. The track forecast and its reasoning are the same as in the previous package. The cyclone is expected to continue to move generally westward to the south of a large mid-level high pressure area. The official forecast track is close to the latest dynamical model consensus. Heavy rainfall continues to be the primary threat associated with this system. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides over portions of eastern Mexico over the next couple of days. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 20/0900Z 20.2N 95.9W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 20/1800Z 20.2N 96.8W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND 24H 21/0600Z 20.0N 98.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 21/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Pasch

Tags: number discussion tropical depression

 
 

Tropical Depression FOUR Forecast Discussion Number 2

2016-06-20 04:32:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1000 PM CDT SUN JUN 19 2016 000 WTNT44 KNHC 200232 TCDAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042016 1000 PM CDT SUN JUN 19 2016 The depression has changed little in overall organization since the previous advisory. Deep convection that developed near the center during the late afternoon has waned this evening, while showers and thunderstorms over the far northern portion of the circulation continue to exhibit some loose banding structure. Recent buoy data and a satellite intensity estimate from TAFB still support an initial wind speed of 30 kt. Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft that is scheduled to investigate the depression overnight should provide a better assessment of the cyclone's intensity. The depression is moving westward at about 6 kt. The track forecast reasoning remains unchanged from the previous advisory. The cyclone should move inland over Mexico within the next 12 to 24 hours while it continues to move westward to the south of a large mid- to upper-level high that is located over the south-central United States. The track guidance is in good agreement on this scenario, and the NHC forecast is near a blend of the GFS, ECMWF, and UKMET models. Moderate southwesterly shear and the sprawling structure of the depression should prohibit significant strengthening before it reaches the coast of Mexico. However, some slight strengthening is possible, and the system is still forecast to become a tropical storm overnight or early Monday. Rapid weakening is expected once the center moves over the mountainous terrain of eastern Mexico, and the system is forecast to dissipate on Tuesday. Heavy rainfall continues to be the primary threat associated with this system. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides over portions of eastern Mexico during the next couple of days. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 20/0300Z 20.1N 95.4W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 20/1200Z 20.2N 96.2W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 21/0000Z 20.4N 97.3W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND 36H 21/1200Z 20.5N 98.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 22/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Brown

Tags: number discussion tropical depression

 

Tropical Depression FOUR Forecast Discussion Number 1

2016-06-19 22:59:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 400 PM CDT SUN JUN 19 2016 000 WTNT44 KNHC 192058 TCDAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042016 400 PM CDT SUN JUN 19 2016 The low pressure system over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico has become sufficiently organized to be classified as a tropical depression, the fourth tropical cyclone of the 2016 Atlantic hurricane season. Although the thunderstorm activity was closer to the center of the cyclone earlier today, the convection is now a little better organized with some evidence of banding features on the north side. In addition, data from an Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft show that the circulation is well defined and has maximum winds near 30 kt. This intensity is also supported by NOAA buoy 42055 which has been reporting winds around 30 kt most of the day. The depression is moving westward at about 7 kt to the south a mid-level high pressure system over the south-central United States. This general motion with a slight decrease in forward speed is predicted, taking the cyclone inland over eastern Mexico in about 24 hours, or perhaps sooner. The official NHC track forecast is close to the GFS and ECMWF models. The strong southwesterly wind shear currently affecting the depression is expected to lessen by tonight, which could allow for slight strengthening before the system begins to interact with land. Once inland, the cyclone is expected to quickly dissipate when it interacts with rugged terrain. Based on the forecast, the Government of Mexico has issued a tropical storm warning for a portion of the coast of Mexico within the state of Veracruz. The primary hazard associated with this system is expected to be heavy rainfall, which could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides over portions of eastern Mexico tonight through Tuesday. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 19/2100Z 19.9N 94.7W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 20/0600Z 20.0N 95.7W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 20/1800Z 20.3N 96.9W 35 KT 40 MPH...NEAR THE COAST 36H 21/0600Z 20.5N 98.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 21/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi/Brown

Tags: number discussion tropical depression

 

Remnants of ONE-E Forecast Discussion Number 8

2016-06-08 16:34:13| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1000 AM CDT WED JUN 08 2016 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 081434 TCDEP1 REMNANTS OF ONE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012016 1000 AM CDT WED JUN 08 2016 Mexican surface and radar data, along with a recent RAPIDSCAT scatterometer overpass, indicate that the tropical depression reached the Mexican coast earlier this morning and the surface circulation has now dissipated. Peak onshore winds continue at about 20 kt, which should diminish later today. Even though the surface circulation has dissipated, there is a continued heavy rainfall threat from this system. This rainfall will be enhanced by the moist southwest flow over the high terrain of southern Mexico and western Guatemala, where flash floods and mud slides are anticipated. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 08/1500Z 16.4N 94.8W 20 KT 25 MPH...REMNANTS OF ONE-E 12H 09/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Landsea

Tags: number discussion forecast remnants

 

Sites : [903] [904] [905] [906] [907] [908] [909] [910] [911] [912] [913] [914] [915] [916] [917] [918] [919] [920] [921] [922] next »