je.st
news
Tag: matthew
Tropical Storm MATTHEW Public Advisory Number 2A
2016-09-29 01:49:34| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 800 PM AST WED SEP 28 2016 000 WTNT34 KNHC 282349 TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 800 PM AST WED SEP 28 2016 ...MATTHEW STILL BATTERING MARTINIQUE AND NEARBY ISLANDS... ...FORECAST TO MOVE WESTWARD AND STRENGTHEN ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA... SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.9N 62.4W ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM W OF ST. LUCIA ABOUT 455 MI...735 KM ENE OF CURACAO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Guadeloupe and Martinique * St. Lucia * Dominica, Barbados, St. Vincent, and the Grenadine Islands A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Bonaire, Curacao, and Aruba A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 36 to 48 hours. Interests along the coast of Venezuela and Colombia should monitor the progress of Matthew. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Matthew was located near latitude 13.9 North, longitude 62.4 West. Matthew's forward speed has decreased, and the storm is now moving toward the west near 15 mph (24 km/h). A westward motion with some additional decrease in forward speed is expected during the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Matthew will continue to move away from the Windward Islands this evening, and be over the eastern and central Caribbean Sea through Friday. Data from a reconnaissance plane indicate that the maximum sustained winds have increased to near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is expected during the next couple of days, and Matthew is forecast to become a hurricane by Friday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) primarily to the northeast of the center. A wind gust to 89 mph (143 km/h) was reported at St. Pierre, Martinique within the past few hours. The minimum central pressure just estimated by an Air Force reconnaissance aircraft was 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue through this evening over the southern Leeward Islands and northern Windward Islands within the warning area. Tropical storm conditions are possible in Bonaire, Curacao, and Aruba, beginning late Thursday. RAINFALL: Matthew is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 4 to 8 inches across the Windward Islands and southern portions of the Leeward Islands through Thursday. These rains may produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. Rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches are expected farther to the north into the northern Leeward Islands, including the United States and British Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico. Rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches are expected over Aruba, Bonaire, and Curacao through Friday. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Avila
Tags: number
public
storm
advisory
Tropical Storm MATTHEW Graphics
2016-09-28 23:11:01| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 28 Sep 2016 20:43:48 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 28 Sep 2016 21:06:38 GMT
Tags: graphics
storm
matthew
tropical
Tropical Storm MATTHEW Forecast Discussion Number 2
2016-09-28 22:43:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM AST WED SEP 28 2016 000 WTNT44 KNHC 282043 TCDAT4 TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 500 PM AST WED SEP 28 2016 Surface observations and aircraft data from earlier this afternoon indicate that the circulation of Matthew has continued to become better defined. There has also been an increase in convection just northeast of the center. The initial intensity remains 50 kt based on the earlier aircraft data. The next Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter mission into Matthew is scheduled for this evening. Although the increase in convection suggests that the system may be trying to establish an inner core, recent microwave and radar data have not revealed a significant increase in organization or banding so far. The aircraft also did not report any pressure fall during its mission. Based on these trends, little change in intensity is predicted in the short-range, but warm waters and low shear are expected to allow for steady strengthening while Matthew moves over the eastern and central Caribbean during the next few days. The updated NHC intensity forecast is a little below the intensity consensus through 24 hours, but is close to the consensus and the statistical models after that time. Matthew is moving westward to west-northwestward at about 16 kt. The track forecast reasoning is unchanged from the previous advisory. The tropical cyclone should move generally westward during the next 2 to 3 days to the south of a strong deep-layer ridge over the western Atlantic. The new NHC track forecast has been nudged northward through 72 hours, to be closer to the new model consensus. After day 3, Matthew is expected to turn northwestward as it nears the western portion of the ridge. The overall track envelope has shifted slightly eastward at days 4 and 5, and the NHC track has been adjusted accordingly. It should be noted that are still significant differences among the models in how soon and how sharply Matthew turns northwestward and northward late in the forecast period. Users are reminded that the average NHC track errors at days 4 and 5 are on the order of 180 and 240 miles, respectively. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 28/2100Z 13.8N 62.0W 50 KT 60 MPH 12H 29/0600Z 14.1N 64.4W 50 KT 60 MPH 24H 29/1800Z 14.4N 67.1W 55 KT 65 MPH 36H 30/0600Z 14.4N 69.5W 65 KT 75 MPH 48H 30/1800Z 14.1N 71.3W 70 KT 80 MPH 72H 01/1800Z 14.2N 73.5W 80 KT 90 MPH 96H 02/1800Z 15.8N 75.0W 90 KT 105 MPH 120H 03/1800Z 19.0N 76.0W 90 KT 105 MPH $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: number
discussion
storm
matthew
Summary for Tropical Storm MATTHEW (AT4/AL142016)
2016-09-28 22:43:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...CENTER OF MATTHEW MOVING INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA... ...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES... As of 5:00 PM AST Wed Sep 28 the center of MATTHEW was located near 13.8, -62.0 with movement W at 18 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.
Tags: summary
storm
matthew
tropical
Tropical Storm MATTHEW Public Advisory Number 2
2016-09-28 22:43:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM AST WED SEP 28 2016 000 WTNT34 KNHC 282042 TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 500 PM AST WED SEP 28 2016 ...CENTER OF MATTHEW MOVING INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA... ...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.8N 62.0W ABOUT 65 MI...110 KM W OF ST. LUCIA ABOUT 480 MI...775 KM ENE OF CURACAO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of the Netherlands has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for Bonaire. The government of Curacao has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for Curacao and the government of Aruba has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for Aruba. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Guadeloupe and Martinique * St. Lucia * Dominica, Barbados, St. Vincent, and the Grenadine Islands A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Bonaire, Curacao, and Aruba A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 36 to 48 hours. Interests along the coast of Venezuela and Colombia should monitor the progress of Matthew. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Matthew was located near latitude 13.8 North, longitude 62.0 West. Matthew is moving toward the west near 18 mph (30 km/h). A westward motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected during the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Matthew will move away from the Windward Islands through this evening, and be over the eastern and central Caribbean Sea through Friday. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is expected during the next couple of days, and Matthew is forecast to become a hurricane by Friday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) primarily to the northeast of the center. A wind gust to 54 mph (87 km/h) was reported at Martinique within the past few hours. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue through this evening over the southern Leeward Islands and northern Windward Islands within the warning. Tropical storm conditions are possible in Bonaire, Curacao, and Aruba, beginning late Thursday. RAINFALL: Matthew is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 4 to 8 inches across the Windward Islands and southern portions of the Leeward Islands through Thursday. These rains may produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. Rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches are expected farther to the north into the northern Leeward Islands, including the United States and British Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico. Rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches are expected over Aruba, Bonaire, and Curacao through Friday. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST. Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: number
public
storm
advisory
Sites : [77] [78] [79] [80] [81] [82] [83] [84] [85] [86] [87] [88] [89] [90] [91] [92] [93] [94] [95] [96] next »