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Summary for Tropical Storm MATTHEW (AT4/AL142016)

2016-09-29 16:54:36| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...MATTHEW CONTINUES WESTWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN... As of 11:00 AM AST Thu Sep 29 the center of MATTHEW was located near 14.2, -66.3 with movement W at 15 mph. The minimum central pressure was 996 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 70 mph.

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Tropical Storm MATTHEW Public Advisory Number 5

2016-09-29 16:54:36| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 AM AST THU SEP 29 2016 000 WTNT34 KNHC 291454 TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 1100 AM AST THU SEP 29 2016 ...MATTHEW CONTINUES WESTWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.2N 66.3W ABOUT 290 MI...465 KM S OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO ABOUT 225 MI...360 KM NE OF CURACAO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Bonaire, Curacao, and Aruba A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area. Interests along the coasts of Venezuela and Colombia should monitor the progress of Matthew. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Matthew was located near latitude 14.2 North, longitude 66.3 West. Matthew is moving toward the west near 15 mph (24 km/h), and a general westward motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected during the next couple of days. Reports from an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is expected during the next 48 hours, and Matthew is forecast to become a hurricane later today or tonight. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure from reconnaissance aircraft data is 996 mb (29.42 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible in Bonaire, Curacao, and Aruba beginning late today. RAINFALL: Rainfall associated with Matthew will begin to diminish across the Lesser Antilles this afternoon, with additional amounts of an inch or less expected. Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches with isolated higher amounts are expected over Aruba, Bonaire and Curacao through Saturday. SURF: Swells generated by Matthew are expected to affect portions of the coasts of Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, Aruba, Bonaire, Curacao, Venezuela, and Colombia during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM AST. Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Brown

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Tropical Storm MATTHEW Forecast Advisory Number 5

2016-09-29 16:52:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC THU SEP 29 2016 000 WTNT24 KNHC 291451 TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 1500 UTC THU SEP 29 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BONAIRE...CURACAO...AND ARUBA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. INTERESTS ALONG THE COAST OF VENEZUELA AND COLOMBIA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MATTHEW. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 66.3W AT 29/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT.......100NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. 34 KT.......180NE 120SE 50SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..480NE 150SE 60SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 66.3W AT 29/1500Z AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 65.5W FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 14.3N 68.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. 34 KT...160NE 100SE 50SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 14.1N 70.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 70NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...140NE 90SE 50SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 13.9N 71.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 70NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...140NE 90SE 50SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 13.9N 72.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...140NE 90SE 50SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 15.3N 74.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...140NE 90SE 60SW 140NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 18.0N 75.2W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 21.5N 75.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 66.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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Tropical Storm MATTHEW Graphics

2016-09-29 14:06:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 29 Sep 2016 12:06:07 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 29 Sep 2016 09:05:38 GMT

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Summary for Tropical Storm MATTHEW (AT4/AL142016)

2016-09-29 14:05:19| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS MATTHEW A LITTLE STRONGER... As of 8:00 AM AST Thu Sep 29 the center of MATTHEW was located near 14.1, -65.5 with movement W at 16 mph. The minimum central pressure was 995 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 70 mph.

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