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Hurricane MATTHEW Public Advisory Number 8

2016-09-30 07:59:40| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 200 AM AST FRI SEP 30 2016 000 WTNT34 KNHC 300559 TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE MATTHEW SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 200 AM AST FRI SEP 30 2016 ...MATTHEW RAPIDLY STRENGTHENS TO A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.1N 69.3W ABOUT 125 MI...205 KM N OF CURACAO ABOUT 565 MI...910 KM ESE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Government of the Netherlands has discontinued the Tropical Storm Watch for Bonaire. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Curacao and Aruba * Colombia/Venezuela border to Riohacha A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 24 to 36 hours. Interests elsewhere along the coasts of Venezuela and Colombia should monitor the progress of Matthew. Interests in Jamaica, Hispaniola, and eastern Cuba should also monitor the progress of Matthew. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Matthew was located near latitude 14.1 North, longitude 69.3 West. Matthew is moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this general motion with a decrease in forward speed is forecast during the next day or two. Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Matthew could become a major hurricane later today or tonight. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km). The minimum central pressure reported by the Hurricane Hunter is 979 mb (28.91 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible in Curacao and Aruba this morning. Tropical storm conditions are possible over portions of the watch area in Colombia beginning later today. RAINFALL: Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches with isolated higher amounts are expected over Aruba, Bonaire and Curacao through Saturday. SURF: Swells generated by Matthew are expected to affect portions of the coasts of Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, Aruba, Bonaire, Curacao, Venezuela, and Colombia during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Beven

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Hurricane MATTHEW Forecast Advisory Number 8

2016-09-30 07:59:11| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0600 UTC FRI SEP 30 2016 000 WTNT24 KNHC 300559 TCMAT4 HURRICANE MATTHEW SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 0600 UTC FRI SEP 30 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE NETHERLANDS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR BONAIRE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CURACAO AND ARUBA * COLOMBIA/VENEZUELA BORDER TO RIOHACHA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE COASTS OF VENEZUELA AND COLOMBIA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MATTHEW. INTERESTS IN JAMAICA... HISPANIOLA...AND EASTERN CUBA SHOULD ALSO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MATTHEW. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 69.3W AT 30/0600Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 15SE 15SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 30SE 20SW 60NW. 34 KT.......160NE 100SE 50SW 140NW. 12 FT SEAS..420NE 150SE 120SW 270NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 69.3W AT 30/0600Z AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 68.1W FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 14.0N 70.4W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 20SE 20SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 40SE 25SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 60SE 50SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 13.9N 72.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 125 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 25SE 25SW 45NW. 50 KT... 90NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 60SE 50SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 13.8N 73.0W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 60SE 50SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 14.1N 74.0W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 60SE 60SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 16.4N 75.3W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 80SE 60SW 140NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 19.7N 75.6W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 23.5N 75.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 69.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

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Summary for Hurricane MATTHEW (AT4/AL142016)

2016-09-30 07:18:17| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...MATTHEW RAPIDLY STRENGTHENS TO A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE... As of 2:00 AM AST Fri Sep 30 the center of MATTHEW was located near 14.1, -69.3 with movement W at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 979 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 100 mph.

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Hurricane MATTHEW Graphics

2016-09-30 05:09:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 30 Sep 2016 02:56:23 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 30 Sep 2016 03:05:37 GMT

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Summary for Hurricane MATTHEW (AT4/AL142016)

2016-09-30 04:55:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...HURRICANE MATTHEW STRENGTHENING IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA... As of 11:00 PM AST Thu Sep 29 the center of MATTHEW was located near 14.1, -68.8 with movement W at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 983 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 80 mph.

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