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Tropical Depression JULIA Public Advisory Number 13

2016-09-17 04:48:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 PM EDT FRI SEP 16 2016 000 WTNT31 KNHC 170248 TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION JULIA ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112016 1100 PM EDT FRI SEP 16 2016 ...JULIA IS GOING NOWHERE FOR NOW AND PROBABLY WILL WEAKEN IN SITU... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.2N 76.3W ABOUT 275 MI...440 KM SSE OF CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Julia was located near latitude 30.2 North, longitude 76.3 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 2 mph (4 km/h), and little motion is expected during the next two days. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. A gradual decay of the cyclone is forecast. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Avila

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Tropical Depression JULIA Forecast Advisory Number 13

2016-09-17 04:48:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC SAT SEP 17 2016 000 WTNT21 KNHC 170248 TCMAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JULIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112016 0300 UTC SAT SEP 17 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.2N 76.3W AT 17/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.2N 76.3W AT 17/0300Z AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.3N 76.2W FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 30.2N 76.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 30.5N 77.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 31.0N 77.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 31.5N 77.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 32.5N 76.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.2N 76.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA

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Tropical Depression TWELVE Graphics

2016-09-15 22:39:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 15 Sep 2016 20:39:12 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 15 Sep 2016 20:37:34 GMT

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Summary for Tropical Depression TWELVE (AT2/AL122016)

2016-09-15 22:38:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN, BUT NOT FOR A FEW DAYS... As of 5:00 PM AST Thu Sep 15 the center of TWELVE was located near 17.8, -31.4 with movement W at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

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Tropical Depression TWELVE Public Advisory Number 6

2016-09-15 22:38:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 500 PM AST THU SEP 15 2016 000 WTNT32 KNHC 152037 TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016 500 PM AST THU SEP 15 2016 ...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN, BUT NOT FOR A FEW DAYS... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.8N 31.4W ABOUT 505 MI...810 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS ABOUT 2000 MI...3220 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Twelve was located near latitude 17.8 North, longitude 31.4 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 13 mph (20 km/h), and a motion toward the west or west-southwest is expected during the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours, with some strengthening expected by late in the weekend. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Blake

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