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Summary for Tropical Depression PRISCILLA (EP1/EP162013)
2013-10-16 04:30:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...PRISCILLA MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD... As of 8:00 PM PDT Tue Oct 15 the center of PRISCILLA was located near 17.7, -117.9 with movement WNW at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression PRISCILLA Graphics
2013-10-15 23:12:11| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 15 Oct 2013 20:39:32 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 15 Oct 2013 21:05:23 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Depression PRISCILLA (EP1/EP162013)
2013-10-15 22:38:22| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...PRISCILLA WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION... As of 2:00 PM PDT Tue Oct 15 the center of PRISCILLA was located near 17.7, -117.5 with movement WNW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression PRISCILLA Public Advisory Number 7
2013-10-15 22:38:22| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT TUE OCT 15 2013 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 152038 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013 200 PM PDT TUE OCT 15 2013 ...PRISCILLA WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.7N 117.5W ABOUT 610 MI...980 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.5 WEST. PRISCILLA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH ...13 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST ON THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND PRISCILLA COULD DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BERG
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Tropical Depression PRISCILLA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7
2013-10-15 22:38:21| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE OCT 15 2013 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 152038 PWSEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013 2100 UTC TUE OCT 15 2013 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT. - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - - VALID TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - DISSIPATED 3 14 19 28 44 NA NA TROP DEPRESSION 61 56 47 45 41 NA NA TROPICAL STORM 36 29 33 25 15 NA NA HURRICANE X 1 1 1 X NA NA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HUR CAT 1 X 1 1 1 X NA NA HUR CAT 2 X X X X X NA NA HUR CAT 3 X X X X X NA NA HUR CAT 4 X X X X X NA NA HUR CAT 5 X X X X X NA NA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - FCST MAX WIND 30KT 25KT 25KT 20KT 15KT NA NA II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BERG
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