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Tropical Depression THIRTEEN Forecast Advisory Number 1
2013-10-21 16:33:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON OCT 21 2013 000 WTNT23 KNHC 211433 TCMAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132013 1500 UTC MON OCT 21 2013 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.0N 55.1W AT 21/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.0N 55.1W AT 21/1500Z AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.7N 55.4W FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 28.9N 54.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 20NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 29.6N 52.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 30.1N 50.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 30.4N 48.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 31.4N 46.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.0N 55.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
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Tropical Depression THIRTEEN Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
2013-10-21 16:33:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON OCT 21 2013 000 FONT13 KNHC 211433 PWSAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132013 1500 UTC MON OCT 21 2013 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT. - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - - VALID TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - DISSIPATED 1 3 4 10 16 NA NA TROP DEPRESSION 34 19 25 32 38 NA NA TROPICAL STORM 65 74 66 55 43 NA NA HURRICANE X 4 6 4 4 NA NA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HUR CAT 1 X 4 6 4 4 NA NA HUR CAT 2 X X 1 1 X NA NA HUR CAT 3 X X X X X NA NA HUR CAT 4 X X X X X NA NA HUR CAT 5 X X X X X NA NA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - FCST MAX WIND 35KT 40KT 40KT 35KT 30KT NA NA II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
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Tropical Depression SEVENTEEN-E Graphics
2013-10-20 07:33:11| Tropical Depression LIDIA
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 20 Oct 2013 05:33:11 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 20 Oct 2013 03:05:45 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Depression SEVENTEEN-E (EP2/EP172013)
2013-10-20 07:32:30| Tropical Depression LIDIA
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM SOON... As of 11:00 PM PDT Sat Oct 19 the center of SEVENTEEN-E was located near 14.3, -101.0 with movement NW at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression SEVENTEEN-E Public Advisory Number 1A
2013-10-20 07:32:30| Tropical Depression LIDIA
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM SOON... Location: 14.3°N 101.0°W Max sustained: 35 mph Moving: NW at 10 mph Min pressure: 1004 mb Issued at 1100 PM PDT SAT OCT 19 2013
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