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Tropical Depression Fourteen Graphics
2018-10-07 13:50:50| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 07 Oct 2018 11:50:50 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 07 Oct 2018 09:28:30 GMT
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Tropical Depression Fourteen Graphics
2018-10-07 10:53:47| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 07 Oct 2018 08:53:47 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 07 Oct 2018 08:53:47 GMT
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Tropical Depression Fourteen Forecast Discussion Number 3
2018-10-07 10:52:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 400 AM CDT Sun Oct 07 2018 000 WTNT44 KNHC 070851 TCDAT4 Tropical Depression Fourteen Discussion Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142018 400 AM CDT Sun Oct 07 2018 Radar data from Belize and infrared satellite imagery indicate that the low pressure system centered just off the coast of the Yucatan Peninsula has continued to become better organized, with deep convection consolidating just to the northeast of the low-level center. Dvorak estimates have increased to T2.0 from TAFB and T1.5 from SAB, indicating that the convective pattern has become sufficiently organized for the low to now be declared a tropical depression. The maximum winds are estimated to be 30 kt based on earlier ASCAT data. The Belize radar data was extremely helpful in locating the depression's center, and the system's 12-hour average motion is north-northwestward, or 340 degrees, at a very slow 3 kt. The depression is expected to move generally northward during the next 3 days, gradually gaining speed as it enters the southerly flow between high pressure over the western Atlantic and an advancing deep-layer trough over the western half of the United States. After day 3, the trough is expected to cause the cyclone to turn northeastward and accelerate further across the southeastern United States. While the track models agree on the general scenario, there are some speed differences, most notably with the ECMWF model being slower than the other guidance. Also, the ECMWF and GFS models are located along the western edge of the guidance envelope. In light of these facts, the new NHC prediction is just a little slower than the previous one, and it lies to the west of the TVCN multi-model consensus and the HCCA model during the first 3 days of the forecast. The depression is still being hampered by 20-30 kt of westerly shear, however it is also located in an environment of upper-level diffluence to the southeast of a stationary trough over the Gulf of Mexico. The shear in the immediate vicinity of the cyclone is forecast to gradually abate during the next 2-3 days while the diffluent upper-air pattern continues, and along with sufficiently warm waters of 28-30 degrees Celsius, all indications are that the depression will gradually strengthen while it moves northward over the Gulf of Mexico. In fact, nearly every piece of intensity guidance brings the cyclone to hurricane strength before it reaches land, including the GFS, ECMWF, and UKMET global models, which all show significant deepening of the central pressure. The updated NHC intensity forecast generally lies between the ICON intensity consensus and the HCCA model for the entire forecast period, and it now explicitly shows the cyclone reaching hurricane strength by 72 hours. Key Messages for Tropical Depression Fourteen: 1. The depression is producing heavy rainfall and flash flooding over portions of Central America, and these rains will spread over western Cuba and the northeastern Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico during the next couple of days. 2. The depression is forecast to become a tropical storm later today, and tropical storm conditions are expected by tonight over portions of western Cuba and the northeastern Yucatan Peninsula, where tropical storm warnings are in effect. 3. Storm surge, rainfall, and wind impacts are possible over portions of the northern Gulf Coast by mid-week, although it is too soon to specify the exact location and magnitude of these impacts. Residents in these areas should monitor the progress of this system. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 07/0900Z 18.6N 86.9W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 07/1800Z 19.4N 86.7W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 08/0600Z 20.8N 86.4W 45 KT 50 MPH 36H 08/1800Z 22.3N 86.6W 50 KT 60 MPH 48H 09/0600Z 23.9N 87.1W 55 KT 65 MPH 72H 10/0600Z 27.6N 87.3W 65 KT 75 MPH 96H 11/0600Z 32.0N 84.0W 45 KT 50 MPH...INLAND 120H 12/0600Z 37.0N 76.0W 45 KT 50 MPH...NEAR THE VA COAST $$ Forecaster Berg
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Summary for Tropical Depression Fourteen (AT4/AL142018)
2018-10-07 10:51:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...DISTURBANCE BECOMES A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... As of 4:00 AM CDT Sun Oct 7 the center of Fourteen was located near 18.6, -86.9 with movement NNW at 3 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression Fourteen Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3
2018-10-07 10:51:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN OCT 07 2018 000 FONT14 KNHC 070851 PWSAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142018 0900 UTC SUN OCT 07 2018 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) PORTSMOUTH NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) WORCESTER MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) SPRINGFIELD MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) NANTUCKET MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) NEW HAVEN CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) NEW LONDON CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) POUGHKEEPSIE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) ISLIP NY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) NWS EARLE NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) ALLENTOWN PA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) PHILADELPHIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) CAPE HENLOPEN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) OCEAN CITY MD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) PAX RIVER NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) WALLOPS CDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) RICHMOND VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) DANVILLE VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) NORFOLK NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) OCEANA NAS VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) ELIZABETH CTY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) GREENSBORO NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) RALEIGH NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) ROCKY MT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) FAYETTEVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) CHARLOTTE NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 15(17) CHERRY PT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 17(19) NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) NEW RIVER NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 17(19) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 14(18) BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) BALD HEAD ISL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 14(18) FLORENCE SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 12(18) COLUMBIA SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 13(17) LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 14(19) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 12(17) GEORGETOWN SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 12(18) CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 11(19) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 6(17) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 11(19) AUGUSTA GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 10(19) SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 7(17) KINGS BAY GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 7(19) WAYCROSS GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) WAYCROSS GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 6(18) MAYPORT NS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) MAYPORT NS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 6(17) JACKSONVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) 4(19) GAINESVILLE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) GAINESVILLE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 4(13) THE VILLAGES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 3(15) THE VILLAGES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 3(11) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) FT LAUDERDALE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) HOMESTEAD ARB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) NAPLES FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) VENICE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 7(10) X(10) TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 1(13) TAMPA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 12(22) 2(24) CEDAR KEY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) CEDAR KEY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 20(25) 6(31) TALLAHASSEE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 19(25) 5(30) ST MARKS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) ST MARKS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) 20(38) 4(42) APALACHICOLA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 1(13) APALACHICOLA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 22(23) 18(41) 2(43) GFMX 290N 850W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 9(14) 1(15) GFMX 290N 850W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 23(42) 3(45) PANAMA CITY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) 1(13) PANAMA CITY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 22(40) 3(43) DESTIN EXEC AP 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) 2(14) DESTIN EXEC AP 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) 6(22) COLUMBUS GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 3(13) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15(18) 4(22) MONTGOMERY AL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 20(29) 2(31) WHITING FLD FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 1( 9) WHITING FLD FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 20(29) 2(31) PENSACOLA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 1(10) PENSACOLA FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 30(32) 22(54) 1(55) GFMX 290N 870W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 11(22) 1(23) GFMX 290N 870W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 18(25) 1(26) MOBILE AL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) MOBILE AL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 14(21) 1(22) GULFPORT MS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) GULFPORT MS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) STENNIS MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 12(19) 1(20) STENNIS MS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) STENNIS MS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) BURAS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 11(21) 1(22) BURAS LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 28(32) 12(44) 1(45) GFMX 280N 890W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 7(18) X(18) GFMX 280N 890W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) JACKSON MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 1( 9) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 10(16) 1(17) NEW ORLEANS LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) GFMX 280N 910W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 7(22) X(22) GFMX 280N 910W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) GFMX 280N 910W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) BATON ROUGE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 1(11) BATON ROUGE LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) MORGAN CITY LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) 1(12) MORGAN CITY LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) LAFAYETTE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) NEW IBERIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) GFMX 280N 930W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) FORT POLK LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) LAKE CHARLES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) CAMERON LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) MERIDA MX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) COZUMEL MX 34 5 35(40) 6(46) 2(48) 1(49) X(49) X(49) COZUMEL MX 50 X 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) COZUMEL MX 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X 15(15) 22(37) 4(41) 3(44) X(44) X(44) CP SAN ANTONIO 50 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) CP SAN ANTONIO 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) HAVANA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLE OF PINES 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) $$ FORECASTER BERG
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