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Tropical Depression Twenty-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
2018-09-25 10:43:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE SEP 25 2018 837 FOPZ15 KNHC 250843 PWSEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202018 0900 UTC TUE SEP 25 2018 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 110W 34 1 40(41) 17(58) 4(62) 1(63) X(63) X(63) 15N 110W 50 X 5( 5) 8(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) 15N 110W 64 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 20N 110W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 8(15) 5(20) 1(21) X(21) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 44(56) 7(63) 1(64) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) 6(26) X(26) ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 3(13) X(13) 15N 115W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) 35(51) 4(55) 1(56) 15N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 3(19) 1(20) 15N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) 20N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 19(23) 11(34) 3(37) 20N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 1( 9) 20N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 25N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 15N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 4(18) 15N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 15N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 20N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 24(26) 29(55) 20N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 15(23) 20N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 25N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 20N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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Summary for Tropical Depression Twenty-E (EP5/EP202018)
2018-09-25 10:43:14| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS WELL OFF THE COAST OF MEXICO... As of 3:00 AM MDT Tue Sep 25 the center of Twenty-E was located near 14.5, -107.2 with movement W at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression Twenty-E Public Advisory Number 1
2018-09-25 10:43:14| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 AM MDT Tue Sep 25 2018 491 WTPZ35 KNHC 250843 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Twenty-E Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP202018 300 AM MDT Tue Sep 25 2018 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS WELL OFF THE COAST OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.5N 107.2W ABOUT 365 MI...590 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Twenty-E was located near latitude 14.5 North, longitude 107.2 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 9 mph (15 km/h). A west to west-northwest motion at a similar forward speed is expected during the next few days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast during the next few days, and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm later today or tonight. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Tropical Depression Twenty-E Forecast Advisory Number 1
2018-09-25 10:43:14| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE SEP 25 2018 490 WTPZ25 KNHC 250843 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202018 0900 UTC TUE SEP 25 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 107.2W AT 25/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 107.2W AT 25/0900Z AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 106.9W FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 14.9N 108.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 15.5N 109.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 15.8N 111.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 16.1N 112.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 70SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 16.9N 115.6W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 80SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 18.3N 118.1W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 20.7N 119.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 107.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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Subtropical Depression Leslie Graphics
2018-09-25 10:39:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 25 Sep 2018 08:39:39 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 25 Sep 2018 09:22:03 GMT
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