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Remnants of Narda Forecast Advisory Number 13
2019-10-01 16:47:16| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE OCT 01 2019 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 011447 TCMEP1 REMNANTS OF NARDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162019 1500 UTC TUE OCT 01 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 110.3W AT 01/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 110.3W AT 01/1500Z AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 110.1W FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.3N 110.3W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
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Tropical Depression Narda Public Advisory Number 12A
2019-10-01 14:43:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 600 AM MDT Tue Oct 01 2019 381 WTPZ31 KNHC 011243 CCA TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Narda Intermediate Advisory Number 12A...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP162019 600 AM MDT Tue Oct 01 2019 Corrected classification of Narda in discussion and outlook section ...NARDA BECOMES A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... ...HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO AND INTO THE SOUTH-CENTRAL UNITED STATES... SUMMARY OF 600 AM MDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.1N 110.1W ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM NW OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM SE OF GUAYMAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm warning for the northwestern coast of mainland Mexico. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 600 AM MDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Narda was located near latitude 27.1 North, longitude 110.1 West. Narda is moving toward the northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). Narda is forecast to continue moving along the northwestern coast of mainland Mexico this morning. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. The wind circulation of Narda will likely dissipate later today, however moisture associated with Narda's remnants will continue to spread northward over northwestern Mexico and the southwestern U.S. during the next couple of days. This moisture could cause heavy rainfall and flash flooding. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Gusty conditions are possible along the coast this morning. These winds should diminish through the day. RAINFALL: Narda is expected to produce the following rain accumulations through today: Sinaloa...Additional 1 to 2 inches, isolated storm totals 10 to 15 inches. Chihuahua...1 to 3 inches. Sonora...1 to 2 inches. Heavy rain that fell in Sinaloa Monday night may cause flooding today. Otherwise, new rainfall may cause isolated flash flooding over northwest Mexico. Moisture from Narda will spread northeastward across portions of the U.S. Southern Plains for the next few days, enhancing rainfall and the threat for flash flooding in those areas. For additional information, please see excessive rainfall products issued by the NOAA Weather Prediction Center at https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml. SURF: Swells generated by Narda are affecting portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico. These swells are expected to spread northward and will likely cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions along the west coast of mainland Mexico, along the east coast of Baja California Sur, and in the Islas Marias archipelago. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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Summary for Tropical Depression Narda (EP1/EP162019)
2019-10-01 14:43:39| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...NARDA BECOMES A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... ...HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO AND INTO THE SOUTH-CENTRAL UNITED STATES... As of 6:00 AM MDT Tue Oct 1 the center of Narda was located near 27.1, -110.1 with movement NW at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Summary for Tropical Depression Narda (EP1/EP162019)
2019-10-01 13:47:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...NARDA BECOMES A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... ...HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO AND INTO THE SOUTH-CENTRAL UNITED STATES... As of 6:00 AM MDT Tue Oct 1 the center of Narda was located near 27.1, -110.1 with movement NW at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression Narda Public Advisory Number 12A
2019-10-01 13:47:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 600 AM MDT Tue Oct 01 2019 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 011147 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Narda Intermediate Advisory Number 12A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP162019 600 AM MDT Tue Oct 01 2019 ...NARDA BECOMES A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... ...HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO AND INTO THE SOUTH-CENTRAL UNITED STATES... SUMMARY OF 600 AM MDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.1N 110.1W ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM NW OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM SE OF GUAYMAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm warning for the northwestern coast of mainland Mexico. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 600 AM MDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Narda was located near latitude 27.1 North, longitude 110.1 West. Narda is moving toward the northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). Narda is forecast to continue moving along the northwestern coast of mainland Mexico this morning. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. The wind circulation of Narda will likely dissipate later today, however moisture associated with Narda's remnants will continue to spread northward over northwestern Mexico and the southwestern U.S. during the next couple of days. This moisture could cause heavy rainfall and flash flooding. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Gusty conditions are possible along the coast this morning. These winds should diminish through the day. RAINFALL: Narda is expected to produce the following rain accumulations through today: Sinaloa...Additional 1 to 2 inches, isolated storm totals 10 to 15 inches. Chihuahua...1 to 3 inches. Sonora...1 to 2 inches. Heavy rain that fell in Sinaloa Monday night may cause flooding today. Otherwise, new rainfall may cause isolated flash flooding over northwest Mexico. Moisture from Narda will spread northeastward across portions of the U.S. Southern Plains for the next few days, enhancing rainfall and the threat for flash flooding in those areas. For additional information, please see excessive rainfall products issued by the NOAA Weather Prediction Center at https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml. SURF: Swells generated by Narda are affecting portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico. These swells are expected to spread northward and will likely cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions along the west coast of mainland Mexico, along the east coast of Baja California Sur, and in the Islas Marias archipelago. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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