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Summary for Tropical Storm Isaac (AT4/AL092018)
2018-09-08 22:48:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE BECOMES TROPICAL STORM ISAAC... As of 5:00 PM AST Sat Sep 8 the center of Isaac was located near 14.5, -36.6 with movement W at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
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Tropical Storm Isaac Public Advisory Number 5
2018-09-08 22:48:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM AST Sat Sep 08 2018 529 WTNT34 KNHC 082048 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Isaac Advisory Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092018 500 PM AST Sat Sep 08 2018 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE BECOMES TROPICAL STORM ISAAC... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.5N 36.6W ABOUT 1640 MI...2640 KM E OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Isaac was located near latitude 14.5 North, longitude 36.6 West. Isaac is moving toward the west near 7 mph (11 km/h). A westward motion with an increase in forward speed are expected during the next few days. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next few days, and Isaac could become a hurricane by Monday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Beven
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Tropical Storm Isaac Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5
2018-09-08 22:48:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC SAT SEP 08 2018 295 FONT14 KNHC 082048 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092018 2100 UTC SAT SEP 08 2018 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 36.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT VIEQUES PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) SAINT MAARTEN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) SAINT MAARTEN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) ST KITTS-NEVIS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) BARBUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 23(24) BARBUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) BARBUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 26(27) ANTIGUA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) ANTIGUA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 30(32) GUADELOUPE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) GUADELOUPE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) AVES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) AVES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) AVES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) DOMINICA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 33(35) DOMINICA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) DOMINICA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) MARTINIQUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 32(35) MARTINIQUE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) MARTINIQUE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) SAINT LUCIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 27(30) SAINT LUCIA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) SAINT LUCIA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) SAINT VINCENT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) SAINT VINCENT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) SAINT VINCENT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) BARBADOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 23(28) BARBADOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) BARBADOS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) GRENADA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) GRENADA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) GRENADA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) TRINIDADTOBAGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) TRINIDADTOBAGO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) TRINIDADTOBAGO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) PORT OF SPAIN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) JUANGRIEGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
Tropical Storm Isaac Forecast Advisory Number 5
2018-09-08 22:47:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC SAT SEP 08 2018 661 WTNT24 KNHC 082047 TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM ISAAC FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092018 2100 UTC SAT SEP 08 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 36.6W AT 08/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 36.6W AT 08/2100Z AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 36.3W FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 14.6N 37.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 14.7N 39.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 14.7N 42.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 14.7N 44.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 14.5N 50.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 14.5N 55.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 15.0N 61.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 36.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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10.09: Isaac Fitzgerald, Wendy MacNaughton, Cheryl Strayed & Carson Ellis
2014-09-24 19:39:52| Powells Books Events Calendar
Every tattoo tells a story, whether the ink is meaningful or the result of a misguided decision made at the age of 14. Isaac Fitzgerald and Wendy MacNaughton's Pen and Ink (Bloomsbury) grants us access to the tattoos and the stories behind them — of writers and ordinary people alike. Fitzgerald and MacNaughton will be joined by Cheryl Strayed, author of Wild and Pen and Ink's introduction, illustrator Carson Ellis, Emily Cable, Amy Martin, and Kriste York.
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