je.st
news
Tag: pablo
Post-Tropical Cyclone Pablo Forecast Advisory Number 12
2019-10-28 15:38:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON OCT 28 2019 000 WTNT23 KNHC 281438 TCMAT3 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE PABLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182019 1500 UTC MON OCT 28 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 46.8N 17.7W AT 28/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 300SE 420SW 420NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 46.8N 17.7W AT 28/1500Z AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 46.6N 17.7W FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 47.4N 17.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 48.5N 18.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 46.8N 17.7W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY METEO FRANCE UNDER WMO HEADER FQNT50 LFPW...AND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE UK MET OFFICE UNDER WMO HEADER FQNT21 EGRR. $$ FORECASTER LATTO
Tags: number
advisory
pablo
forecast
Tropical Storm Pablo Forecast Discussion Number 11
2019-10-28 09:35:46| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST Mon Oct 28 2019 000 WTNT43 KNHC 280835 TCDAT3 Tropical Storm Pablo Discussion Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182019 500 AM AST Mon Oct 28 2019 Convection associated with Pablo has decreased significantly in both coverage and vertical depth during the past 6 hours, and the system barely meets the convective criterion to be classified as a tropical cyclone. What bit of convection that does remain is limited to the southeastern quadrant. The advisory intensity of 45 kt is based on a TAFB T-number classification of T3.0/45 kt and an earlier ASCAT pass that showed some 45-kt vectors present in the southeastern quadrant. Pablo made a jog toward the northwest since the previous advisory, but the small cyclone now appears to be moving slowly northward or 360/04 kt. The latest model guidance remains in reasonable agreement that Pablo and its remnants will move slowly northward for the next day or so around the northeastern periphery of a large extratropical centered several hundred miles to the southwest. Pablo is expected to merge with the frontal zone and become post-tropical later today. Some additional weakening is likely during the next 24 hours due to Pablo moving over even cooler sea-surface temperatures than the 16.5 deg C water that the cyclone is currently passing over. Pablo's 34-kt wind radii have been separated from the larger parent extratropical low's wind field based on late-arriving ASCAT surface wind data that indicated that Pablo's small wind field a had detached from the larger wind radii associated with the broad extratropical low. Additional information on this complex low pressure system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the NOAA National Weather Service High Seas Forecasts under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 28/0900Z 46.6N 17.5W 45 KT 50 MPH 12H 28/1800Z 47.3N 17.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 24H 29/0600Z 48.1N 17.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 36H 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: number
discussion
storm
tropical
Tropical Storm Pablo Wind Speed Probabilities Number 11
2019-10-28 09:33:48| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC MON OCT 28 2019 000 FONT13 KNHC 280833 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM PABLO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182019 0900 UTC MON OCT 28 2019 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PABLO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 46.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 17.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER STEWART
Summary for Tropical Storm Pablo (AT3/AL182019)
2019-10-28 09:33:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...PABLO CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN OVER THE FAR NORTH ATLANTIC... ...EXPECTED TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS LATER THIS MORNING... As of 5:00 AM AST Mon Oct 28 the center of Pablo was located near 46.6, -17.5 with movement N at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 990 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
Tags: summary
storm
tropical
pablo
Tropical Storm Pablo Public Advisory Number 11
2019-10-28 09:33:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST Mon Oct 28 2019 000 WTNT33 KNHC 280833 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Pablo Advisory Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182019 500 AM AST Mon Oct 28 2019 ...PABLO CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN OVER THE FAR NORTH ATLANTIC... ...EXPECTED TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS LATER THIS MORNING... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...46.6N 17.5W ABOUT 725 MI...1165 KM NE OF LAJES AIR BASE IN THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Pablo was located near latitude 46.6 North, longitude 17.5 West. Pablo is moving toward the north near 5 mph (7 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue until Pablo dissipates Tuesday morning. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Slow weakening is expected during the next 24 hours, and Pablo should transition to a post-tropical cyclone later this morning and dissipate on Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 990 mb (29.24 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: number
public
storm
advisory
Sites : [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] next »