je.st

Home › pablo

Tag: pablo

Summary for Tropical Storm Pablo (AT3/AL182019)

2019-10-26 16:39:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...PABLO SLIGHTLY STRONGER... ...EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR OR OVER THE EASTERN AZORES TONIGHT... As of 11:00 AM AST Sat Oct 26 the center of Pablo was located near 35.2, -28.1 with movement E at 16 mph. The minimum central pressure was 989 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.

Tags: summary storm tropical pablo

Tropical Storm Pablo Public Advisory Number 4

2019-10-26 16:39:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 AM AST Sat Oct 26 2019 000 WTNT33 KNHC 261439 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Pablo Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182019 1100 AM AST Sat Oct 26 2019 ...PABLO SLIGHTLY STRONGER... ...EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR OR OVER THE EASTERN AZORES TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...35.2N 28.1W ABOUT 205 MI...325 KM SSW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Pablo was located near latitude 35.2 North, longitude 28.1 West. Pablo is moving toward the east near 16 mph (26 km/h). A turn toward the northeast with an increase in forward speed is expected later today, followed by a turn toward the north-northeast and north on Sunday. On the forecast track, the small core of Pablo will pass near or over the eastern Azores tonight. Recent satellite wind data indicate that maximum sustained winds are now near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. No significant change in strength is anticipated, and Pablo is expected to become an extratropical cyclone on Sunday or Sunday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 989 mb (29.21 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Since Pablo is embedded within a large extratropical low, which itself is forecast to bring strong winds to the Azores, the Portuguese Institute for the Sea and Atmosphere (IPMA) has included the effects of this small cyclone in their products. Those products already account for the strong winds and high waves. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Beven

Tags: number public storm advisory

Tropical Storm Pablo Forecast Advisory Number 4

2019-10-26 16:39:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC SAT OCT 26 2019 000 WTNT23 KNHC 261439 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM PABLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182019 1500 UTC SAT OCT 26 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.2N 28.1W AT 26/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 30SE 40SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 30SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.2N 28.1W AT 26/1500Z AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.1N 29.1W FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 37.4N 25.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 50SE 40SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 40.8N 22.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 70SE 40SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 43.5N 21.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...200NE 150SE 50SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 45.3N 21.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...200NE 0SE 0SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.2N 28.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

Tags: number storm advisory tropical

Tropical Storm Pablo Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4

2019-10-26 16:39:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC SAT OCT 26 2019 000 FONT13 KNHC 261439 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM PABLO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182019 1500 UTC SAT OCT 26 2019 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PABLO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 28.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PONTA DELGADA 34 33 13(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) PONTA DELGADA 50 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

Tags: number speed wind storm