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Summary for Tropical Storm BLAS (EP3/EP032016)
2016-07-10 04:32:23| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...BLAS WEAKENING FAST OVER COLD WATERS... As of 8:00 PM PDT Sat Jul 9 the center of BLAS was located near 21.2, -134.5 with movement W at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1003 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
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Tropical Storm BLAS Graphics
2016-07-09 23:04:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 09 Jul 2016 20:41:08 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 09 Jul 2016 21:04:36 GMT
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Tropical Storm BLAS Forecast Discussion Number 28
2016-07-09 22:39:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT SAT JUL 09 2016 000 WTPZ43 KNHC 092039 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM BLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER 28 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032016 200 PM PDT SAT JUL 09 2016 Blas continues to decay. The intensity and coverage of the associated deep convection has been shrinking throughout the day, and the remaining cold cloud tops are mainly confined to the northwestern portion of the circulation. The Dvorak T-numbers are falling, and a blend of the latest classifications support lowering the initial intensity to 40 kt. The storm is currently over cool 24 C waters and embedded in a dry air mass. These conditions combined with an increase in southwesterly shear should cause the system to degenerate to a remnant low on Sunday. The global models show the remnant low dissipating in about 4 days, and that is reflected in the official forecast. The weakening system is still moving northwestward at about 10 kt. A turn toward the west is predicted over the next day or so when Blas becomes an even shallower system and is steered by the low-level trade wind flow. The NHC official track forecast has been adjusted a little to the south of the previous one to come into better agreement with the latest guidance. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 09/2100Z 20.8N 133.5W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 10/0600Z 21.1N 135.0W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 10/1800Z 21.2N 136.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 11/0600Z 21.0N 139.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 11/1800Z 20.6N 141.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 12/1800Z 19.5N 145.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 13/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Summary for Tropical Storm BLAS (EP3/EP032016)
2016-07-09 22:39:23| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...BLAS CONTINUES TO WEAKEN... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW ON SUNDAY... As of 2:00 PM PDT Sat Jul 9 the center of BLAS was located near 20.8, -133.5 with movement NW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
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Tropical Storm BLAS Public Advisory Number 28
2016-07-09 22:39:23| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT SAT JUL 09 2016 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 092039 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BLAS ADVISORY NUMBER 28 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032016 200 PM PDT SAT JUL 09 2016 ...BLAS CONTINUES TO WEAKEN... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW ON SUNDAY... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.8N 133.5W ABOUT 1400 MI...2255 KM E OF HILO HAWAII MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Blas was located near latitude 20.8 North, longitude 133.5 West. Blas is moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn toward the west is expected during the next day or so. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast, and Blas is expected to become a remnant low on Sunday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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