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Summary for Tropical Storm BLAS (EP3/EP032016)
2016-07-09 16:48:21| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...BLAS STEADILY WEAKENING... As of 8:00 AM PDT Sat Jul 9 the center of BLAS was located near 20.1, -132.5 with movement NW at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 998 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.
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Tropical Storm BLAS Public Advisory Number 27
2016-07-09 16:48:21| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT SAT JUL 09 2016 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 091448 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BLAS ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032016 800 AM PDT SAT JUL 09 2016 ...BLAS STEADILY WEAKENING... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.1N 132.5W ABOUT 1465 MI...2355 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA ABOUT 1465 MI...2360 KM E OF HILO HAWAII MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Blas was located near latitude 20.1 North, longitude 132.5 West. Blas is moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A gradual turn to the west is expected during the next day or two. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast, and Blas is expected to become a remnant low on Sunday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Tropical Storm BLAS Graphics
2016-07-09 11:08:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 09 Jul 2016 08:33:40 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 09 Jul 2016 09:04:36 GMT
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Tropical Storm BLAS Forecast Discussion Number 26
2016-07-09 10:34:17| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM PDT SAT JUL 09 2016 000 WTPZ43 KNHC 090834 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM BLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER 26 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032016 200 AM PDT SAT JUL 09 2016 Blas continues to gradually weaken due to cool SSTs and increasing shear. Microwave imagery indicates that the low-level center is displaced 20 to 30 miles to the south of the mid-level center apparent in geostationary imagery. Dvorak classifications were T4.0/65 kt from TAFB and T3.5/55 kt from SAB, and the initial intensity is lowered to 60 kt based on a blend of these data. Quick weakening is forecast to continue while Blas moves over SSTs below 24C and southwesterly shear increases. Blas is forecast to become a remnant low in 36 hours and dissipate by day 5, and the new NHC intensity forecast is close to the latest IVCN intensity consensus. The above-mentioned microwave imagery showed that the low-level center was located a little south of previous estimates, and the adjusted best track yields an initial motion estimate of 310/08. The track forecast reasoning remains unchanged, as Blas should continue west-northwestward for the next 24 hours and then turn westward and eventually west-southwestward as the remnant low is steered by the low-level trade wind flow. The new NHC track is a little south of the previous through 36 hours given the initial position adjustment, and is close to the previous advisory after that time. This forecast is close to the multi-model consensus through much of the period. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 09/0900Z 19.5N 131.7W 60 KT 70 MPH 12H 09/1800Z 20.5N 132.9W 50 KT 60 MPH 24H 10/0600Z 21.3N 134.5W 40 KT 45 MPH 36H 10/1800Z 21.6N 136.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 11/0600Z 21.5N 138.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 12/0600Z 21.0N 143.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 13/0600Z 20.0N 147.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 14/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Brennan
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Summary for Tropical Storm BLAS (EP3/EP032016)
2016-07-09 10:33:21| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...BLAS WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM... ...FURTHER RAPID WEAKENING EXPECTED... As of 2:00 AM PDT Sat Jul 9 the center of BLAS was located near 19.5, -131.7 with movement NW at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 992 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 70 mph.
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