je.st
news
Tag: blas
Tropical Storm BLAS Public Advisory Number 26
2016-07-09 10:33:21| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM PDT SAT JUL 09 2016 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 090833 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BLAS ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032016 200 AM PDT SAT JUL 09 2016 ...BLAS WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM... ...FURTHER RAPID WEAKENING EXPECTED... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.5N 131.7W ABOUT 1420 MI...2290 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA ABOUT 1520 MI...2450 KM E OF HILO HAWAII MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Blas was located near latitude 19.5 North, longitude 131.7 West. Blas is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue today. A turn toward the west-northwest is forecast tonight, followed by a turn toward the west on Sunday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Rapid weakening is forecast, and Blas is expected to become a remnant low on Sunday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.30 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Brennan
Tags: number
public
storm
advisory
Tropical Storm BLAS Wind Speed Probabilities Number 26
2016-07-09 10:33:21| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC SAT JUL 09 2016 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 090833 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM BLAS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 26 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032016 0900 UTC SAT JUL 09 2016 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BLAS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 131.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
Hurricane BLAS Graphics
2016-07-09 05:08:30| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 09 Jul 2016 02:44:19 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 09 Jul 2016 03:04:38 GMT
Tags: graphics
hurricane
blas
hurricane graphics
Hurricane BLAS Forecast Discussion Number 25
2016-07-09 04:33:43| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT FRI JUL 08 2016 000 WTPZ43 KNHC 090233 TCDEP3 HURRICANE BLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER 25 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032016 800 PM PDT FRI JUL 08 2016 Blas has continued to move over increasingly cooler waters, and although the convection has been on a general weakening trend, the hurricane still has a vigorous circulation as indicated by ASCAT earlier today. A blend of subjective and objective Dvorak numbers from all agencies supports an initial intensity of 70 kt. In addition to the effect of cooler waters, the shear is forecast to increase. Recent microwave imagery suggests that the low-level center is south of the convection, indicating that the shear is already increasing. These factors should result in faster weakening, and Blas is expected to become a remnant low by Sunday or sooner. In fact, SHIPS and LGEM basically dissipate the cyclone in 48 hours or so. The cyclone is moving toward the northwest or 325 degrees at about 10 kt around the southwestern periphery of the Pacific subtropical ridge, and this general track is forecast to continue for a day or so. In about 36 hours or less, Blas should have become a shallow system and will likely be steered westward and west-southwestward by the low-level trade winds. Most of the models have been fairly consistent with this scenario for a while, and there are no obvious reasons to vary from earlier NHC forecasts. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 09/0300Z 19.2N 131.0W 70 KT 80 MPH 12H 09/1200Z 20.2N 132.0W 60 KT 70 MPH 24H 10/0000Z 21.3N 133.5W 45 KT 50 MPH 36H 10/1200Z 21.8N 135.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 11/0000Z 21.7N 137.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 12/0000Z 21.0N 141.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 13/0000Z 20.0N 145.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 14/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Avila
Tags: number
discussion
forecast
hurricane
Hurricane BLAS Wind Speed Probabilities Number 25
2016-07-09 04:33:16| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT JUL 09 2016 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 090233 PWSEP3 HURRICANE BLAS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 25 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032016 0300 UTC SAT JUL 09 2016 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BLAS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 131.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) $$ FORECASTER AVILA
Tags: number
speed
wind
hurricane
Sites : [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] [13] [14] [15] next »