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Hurricane JIMENA Public Advisory Number 8

2015-08-28 16:31:42| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 800 AM PDT FRI AUG 28 2015 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 281431 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132015 800 AM PDT FRI AUG 28 2015 ...JIMENA CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY RAPIDLY... ...COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.4N 122.0W ABOUT 1075 MI...1730 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Jimena was located near latitude 12.4 North, longitude 122.0 West. Jimena is moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through early Saturday. A west-northwestward motion is forecast late Saturday through Sunday. Jimena has been rapidly intensifying, and maximum sustained winds have increased to near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Jimena is expected to become a major hurricane tonight. Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center, and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 979 mb (28.91 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Berg

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Hurricane JIMENA Forecast Advisory Number 8

2015-08-28 16:31:42| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC FRI AUG 28 2015 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 281431 TCMEP3 HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132015 1500 UTC FRI AUG 28 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 122.0W AT 28/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 80NE 80SE 50SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 80SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 122.0W AT 28/1500Z AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 121.5W FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 12.4N 123.6W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 12.6N 125.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 13.2N 127.3W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 25SE 25SW 35NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 110SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 14.1N 129.2W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 15.9N 133.9W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 17.0N 138.0W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 17.5N 140.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 122.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BERG

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Hurricane JIMENA Forecast Advisory Number 7

2015-08-28 10:35:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC FRI AUG 28 2015 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 280835 TCMEP3 HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132015 0900 UTC FRI AUG 28 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 121.0W AT 28/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 10SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 80NE 80SE 50SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 80SE 70SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 121.0W AT 28/0900Z AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 120.5W FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 12.2N 122.8W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 12.3N 124.7W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 12.8N 126.6W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 13.6N 128.5W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 15.4N 133.0W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 16.9N 137.3W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 17.8N 140.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.1N 121.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE

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