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Summary for Hurricane EDOUARD (AT1/AL062014)

2014-09-18 16:35:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...EDOUARD GRADUALLY WEAKENING... As of 11:00 AM AST Thu Sep 18 the center of EDOUARD was located near 39.9, -42.7 with movement E at 25 mph. The minimum central pressure was 970 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 80 mph.

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Hurricane EDOUARD Public Advisory Number 29

2014-09-18 16:35:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 AM AST THU SEP 18 2014 000 WTNT31 KNHC 181435 TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE EDOUARD ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062014 1100 AM AST THU SEP 18 2014 ...EDOUARD GRADUALLY WEAKENING... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...39.9N 42.7W ABOUT 755 MI...1210 KM W OF FAYAL ISLAND IN THE WESTERN AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 85 DEGREES AT 25 MPH...41 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EDOUARD WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 39.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 42.7 WEST. EDOUARD IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 25 MPH...41 KM/H. A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A SLOWER EASTWARD MOTION FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. EDOUARD IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM BY TONIGHT...AND BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE FRIDAY NIGHT OR SATURDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.65 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...SWELLS FROM EDOUARD ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF ATLANTIC CANADA AND PORTIONS OF THE UNITED STATES EAST COAST NORTH OF FLORIDA. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS THROUGH TODAY. PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE FOR MORE DETAILS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN

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Hurricane EDOUARD Wind Speed Probabilities Number 29

2014-09-18 16:35:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC THU SEP 18 2014 000 FONT11 KNHC 181435 PWSAT1 HURRICANE EDOUARD WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 29 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062014 1500 UTC THU SEP 18 2014 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EDOUARD WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 39.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 42.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SANTA CRUZ AZO 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 7( 9) 12(21) 2(23) X(23) SANTA CRUZ AZO 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PONTA DELGADA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN

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Hurricane EDOUARD Forecast Advisory Number 29

2014-09-18 16:33:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC THU SEP 18 2014 000 WTNT21 KNHC 181433 TCMAT1 HURRICANE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062014 1500 UTC THU SEP 18 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.9N 42.7W AT 18/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 85 DEGREES AT 22 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 80SE 70SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 80NE 120SE 90SW 50NW. 34 KT.......110NE 200SE 180SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 300SE 340SW 430NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.9N 42.7W AT 18/1500Z AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.9N 43.9W FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 40.1N 39.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 90SE 70SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 160SE 140SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 39.9N 37.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 90SE 90SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 40.0N 36.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 50SE 50SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 40.0N 34.3W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 40SE 40SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 37.5N 30.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 33.0N 30.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.9N 42.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN

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