je.st
news
Tag: paulette
Summary for Tropical Storm Paulette (AT2/AL172020)
2020-09-08 10:34:37| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...PAULETTE STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE OVER THE OPEN CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC... As of 5:00 AM AST Tue Sep 8 the center of Paulette was located near 18.1, -42.8 with movement NW at 6 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1000 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
Tags: summary
storm
tropical
paulette
Tropical Storm Paulette Public Advisory Number 6
2020-09-08 10:34:37| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST Tue Sep 08 2020 000 WTNT32 KNHC 080834 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Paulette Advisory Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172020 500 AM AST Tue Sep 08 2020 ...PAULETTE STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE OVER THE OPEN CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.1N 42.8W ABOUT 1250 MI...2010 KM W OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS ABOUT 1330 MI...2140 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Paulette was located near latitude 18.1 North, longitude 42.8 West. Paulette is moving toward the northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h) and should continue in this general motion with a faster forward speed later today, then move west-northwestward Wednesday through Friday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Further strengthening is forecast during the next day or so, with little change in strength expected afterward through Thursday. Some weakening is expected Thursday evening and Friday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Roberts
Tags: number
public
storm
advisory
Tropical Storm Paulette Forecast Advisory Number 6
2020-09-08 10:34:37| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE SEP 08 2020 000 WTNT22 KNHC 080834 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM PAULETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172020 0900 UTC TUE SEP 08 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 42.8W AT 08/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 90NE 70SE 0SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 0SE 0SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 42.8W AT 08/0900Z AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 42.6W FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 18.6N 43.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 30SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 19.5N 45.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 30SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 20.2N 46.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT...150NE 90SE 50SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 20.5N 48.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT...150NE 90SE 50SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 20.8N 50.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 70SE 30SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 21.3N 51.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 70SE 30SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 22.9N 54.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 25.4N 57.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 42.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS
Tags: number
storm
advisory
tropical
Tropical Storm Paulette Graphics
2020-09-08 04:34:17| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 08 Sep 2020 02:34:17 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 08 Sep 2020 02:34:17 GMT
Tags: graphics
storm
tropical
paulette
Tropical Storm Paulette Forecast Discussion Number 5
2020-09-08 04:32:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST Mon Sep 07 2020 000 WTNT42 KNHC 080232 TCDAT2 Tropical Storm Paulette Discussion Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172020 1100 PM AST Mon Sep 07 2020 Satellite images show that Paulette continues to become better organized, with a more symmetric presentation and very deep convection near or just north of the center. The initial wind speed is increased to 40 kt, a little higher than recent subjective Dvorak estimates, but close to the objective estimates and the UW-CIMSS satellite consensus. Further strengthening is expected during the next day or so while the storm remains in a warm SST and low-to-moderate shear environment. By midweek, some weakening is forecast due to an increase in shear from an enhanced mid-oceanic upper-level trough. There's a fair amount of uncertainty on how quickly the tropical cyclone moves across the trough axis, which would then allow Paulette to find an area of lighter shear, plus very warm water, by the end of the forecast period. The intensity forecast is slightly higher in the short-term, and lower in the day-4 period just before the environment is forecast to improve. Paulette appears to be moving slowly north-northwestward this evening. A mid-level ridge is likely to build over the western and central North Atlantic in a day or two, and this pattern should cause Paulette to move faster toward the northwest tomorrow, and west-northwestward or westward through late week. A turn back toward the west-northwest or northwest is possible over the weekend as the cyclone reaches the western periphery of the ridge. This is not a particularly certain forecast because the track models aren't in good agreement, perhaps linked to the strength of Paulette, and there is significant spread in the various ensemble guidance. With no clear trends to rely on, and since the new model consensus came in very close to the previous NHC forecast, the new NHC track prediction is basically unchanged from the previous one. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 08/0300Z 17.8N 42.5W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 08/1200Z 18.4N 42.9W 45 KT 50 MPH 24H 09/0000Z 19.2N 44.1W 50 KT 60 MPH 36H 09/1200Z 19.9N 45.9W 55 KT 65 MPH 48H 10/0000Z 20.5N 47.9W 55 KT 65 MPH 60H 10/1200Z 20.9N 49.9W 50 KT 60 MPH 72H 11/0000Z 21.3N 51.8W 50 KT 60 MPH 96H 12/0000Z 22.5N 55.0W 45 KT 50 MPH 120H 13/0000Z 25.0N 58.0W 50 KT 60 MPH $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: number
discussion
storm
tropical
Sites : [43] [44] [45] [46] [47] [48] [49] [50] [51] [52] [53] [54] [55] [56] [57] next »