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Summary for Tropical Storm Paulette (AT2/AL172020)

2020-09-08 04:31:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...A SLIGHTLY STRONGER PAULETTE DRIFTING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD... As of 11:00 PM AST Mon Sep 7 the center of Paulette was located near 17.8, -42.5 with movement NNW at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.

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Tropical Storm Paulette Public Advisory Number 5

2020-09-08 04:31:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 PM AST Mon Sep 07 2020 310 WTNT32 KNHC 080231 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Paulette Advisory Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172020 1100 PM AST Mon Sep 07 2020 ...A SLIGHTLY STRONGER PAULETTE DRIFTING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.8N 42.5W ABOUT 1230 MI...1975 KM W OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS ABOUT 1350 MI...2175 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Paulette was located near latitude 17.8 North, longitude 42.5 West. Paulette is moving toward the north-northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h). The storm is forecast to turn toward the northwest and move faster on Tuesday, and move west-northwestward or westward on Wednesday and Thursday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the day or two, with little change in strength expected afterward through Thursday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Blake

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Tropical Storm Paulette Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5

2020-09-08 04:31:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC TUE SEP 08 2020 312 FONT12 KNHC 080231 PWSAT2 TROPICAL STORM PAULETTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172020 0300 UTC TUE SEP 08 2020 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PAULETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 42.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BLAKE

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Tropical Storm Paulette Forecast Advisory Number 5

2020-09-08 04:30:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC TUE SEP 08 2020 000 WTNT22 KNHC 080230 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM PAULETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172020 0300 UTC TUE SEP 08 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 42.5W AT 08/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 70NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 0SE 0SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 42.5W AT 08/0300Z AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 42.4W FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 18.4N 42.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 70SE 0SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 19.2N 44.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 30SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 19.9N 45.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT...150NE 90SE 50SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 20.5N 47.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT...150NE 90SE 50SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 20.9N 49.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 70SE 30SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 21.3N 51.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 60SE 30SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 22.5N 55.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 25.0N 58.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 42.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE

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