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Summary for Tropical Depression Fourteen (AT4/AL142017)

2017-09-15 22:34:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...DEPRESSION POORLY ORGANIZED BUT FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM OVER THE WEEKEND... As of 5:00 PM AST Fri Sep 15 the center of Fourteen was located near 12.6, -29.7 with movement WNW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1009 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

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Tropical Depression Fourteen Public Advisory Number 4

2017-09-15 22:34:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 500 PM AST Fri Sep 15 2017 000 WTNT34 KNHC 152034 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Fourteen Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142017 500 PM AST Fri Sep 15 2017 ...DEPRESSION POORLY ORGANIZED BUT FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM OVER THE WEEKEND... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.6N 29.7W ABOUT 450 MI...720 KM WSW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Fourteen was located near latitude 12.6 North, longitude 29.7 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and a west or west-northwest motion is forecast during the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some gradual strengthening is expected, and the depression is forecast to become a tropical storm over the weekend. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Brown

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Tropical Depression Fourteen Forecast Advisory Number 4

2017-09-15 22:34:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC FRI SEP 15 2017 000 WTNT24 KNHC 152034 TCMAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017 2100 UTC FRI SEP 15 2017 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 29.7W AT 15/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 29.7W AT 15/2100Z AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 29.1W FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 12.8N 30.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 12.9N 32.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 13.0N 33.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 13.2N 34.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 14.6N 38.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 16.5N 42.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 18.5N 46.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N 29.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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Tropical Depression Fourteen Graphics

2017-09-15 16:40:04| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 15 Sep 2017 14:40:04 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 15 Sep 2017 14:40:05 GMT

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Summary for Tropical Depression Fourteen (AT4/AL142017)

2017-09-15 16:33:48| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...DEPRESSION FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY... As of 11:00 AM AST Fri Sep 15 the center of Fourteen was located near 11.4, -28.3 with movement WNW at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

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