je.st
news
Tag: fourteen
Tropical Depression Fourteen Public Advisory Number 3
2018-10-07 10:51:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 400 AM CDT Sun Oct 07 2018 000 WTNT34 KNHC 070851 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Fourteen Advisory Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142018 400 AM CDT Sun Oct 07 2018 ...DISTURBANCE BECOMES A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.6N 86.9W ABOUT 90 MI...150 KM E OF CHETUMAL MEXICO ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM SSW OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has upgraded the Tropical Storm Watch from Tulum to Cabo Catoche to a Tropical Storm Warning. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * The Cuban provinces of Pinar del Rio and the Isle of Youth * The coast of Mexico from Tulum to Cabo Catoche A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 24 hours. Interests along the northeastern and central U.S. Gulf coast should monitor the progress of the depression. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Fourteen was located near latitude 18.6 North, longitude 86.9 West. The depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 3 mph (6 km/h). A turn toward the north is expected later today, with that motion at a faster forward speed continuing through early Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center will move through the Yucatan Channel Monday morning and then across the eastern Gulf of Mexico late Monday through Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next several days, with the depression expected to become a tropical storm later today. The system could become a hurricane by Tuesday night or Wednesday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the coast within the warning area by this evening or tonight, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous. RAINFALL: Total rain accumulations of 3 to 7 inches are expected over western Cuba and 2 to 4 inches over the Yucatan Peninsula, Belize, and northern Honduras through Tuesday. Isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches are possible in western Cuba. A separate area of persistent very heavy rainfall is expected along the Pacific coast of Central America and Mexico, including western Nicaragua, El Salvador, Guatemala, and the state of Chiapas in Mexico. In many of these areas this rainfall could lead to life-threatening flash floods. Elsewhere, outer rain bands from the depression are expected to produce total rain accumulations of 2 to 4 inches across the Florida Keys through Monday. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 700 AM CDT. Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: number
public
advisory
tropical
Tropical Depression Fourteen Forecast Advisory Number 3
2018-10-07 10:51:04| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN OCT 07 2018 000 WTNT24 KNHC 070850 TCMAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142018 0900 UTC SUN OCT 07 2018 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS UPGRADED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM TULUM TO CABO CATOCHE TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF PINAR DEL RIO AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH * THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM TULUM TO CABO CATOCHE A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS. INTERESTS ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN AND CENTRAL U.S. GULF COAST SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THE DEPRESSION. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 86.9W AT 07/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 86.9W AT 07/0900Z AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 87.0W FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 19.4N 86.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 20.8N 86.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...110NE 70SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 22.3N 86.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...130NE 100SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 23.9N 87.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...130NE 120SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 27.6N 87.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 70SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 32.0N 84.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 37.0N 76.0W...NEAR THE VA COAST MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.6N 86.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
Tags: number
advisory
tropical
depression
Potential Tropical Cyclone Fourteen Graphics
2018-10-07 07:37:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 07 Oct 2018 05:37:59 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 07 Oct 2018 03:28:29 GMT
Tags: potential
graphics
tropical
fourteen
Summary for Potential Tropical Cyclone Fourteen (AT4/AL142018)
2018-10-07 07:37:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...DISTURBANCE MEANDERING OFF THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA... As of 1:00 AM CDT Sun Oct 7 the center of Fourteen was located near 18.4, -87.1 with movement NW at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
Tags: summary
potential
tropical
fourteen
Potential Tropical Cyclone Fourteen Public Advisory Number 2A
2018-10-07 07:37:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 100 AM CDT Sun Oct 07 2018 000 WTNT34 KNHC 070537 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Potential Tropical Cyclone Fourteen Intermediate Advisory Number 2A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142018 100 AM CDT Sun Oct 07 2018 ...DISTURBANCE MEANDERING OFF THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA... SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.4N 87.1W ABOUT 80 MI...125 KM E OF CHETUMAL MEXICO ABOUT 280 MI...450 KM SSW OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * The Cuban provinces of Pinar del Rio and the Isle of Youth A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * The coast of Mexico from Tulum to Cabo Catoche A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 36 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), radar data from Belize indicated that the low pressure system was centered near latitude 18.4 North, longitude 87.1 West. The low has been meandering just off the coast of the Yucatan Peninsula during the past few hours, but its longer-term motion is toward the northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h). The low is expected to turn northward later today, with that motion continuing for the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the low or the tropical cyclone should move across the Yucatan Channel near the eastern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula through tonight, and then move into the southern Gulf of Mexico on Monday. Satellite-derived wind data indicate that the maximum sustained winds have increased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days. The low is expected to become a tropical depression later today and a tropical storm by tonight. A reconnaissance plane will investigate the system this afternoon. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the coast within the warning area by tonight, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area tonight and on Monday. RAINFALL: The low is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 3 to 7 inches over western Cuba and 2 to 4 inches over the Yucatan Peninsula, Belize, and northern Honduras through Tuesday. Isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches are possible in western Cuba. A separate area of persistent very heavy rainfall is expected along the Pacific coast of Central America and Mexico, including western Nicaragua, El Salvador, Guatemala, and the state of Chiapas in Mexico. In many of these areas this rainfall could lead to life-threatening flash floods. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: number
public
potential
advisory
Sites : [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] [13] [14] [15] [16] [17] [18] [19] [20] [21] [22] [23] [24] next »