je.st
news
Tag: earl
Tropical Storm EARL Public Advisory Number 9A
2016-08-04 19:54:14| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 100 PM CDT THU AUG 04 2016 000 WTNT35 KNHC 041754 TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM EARL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 9A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052016 100 PM CDT THU AUG 04 2016 ...EARL BRINGING HEAVY RAINFALL TO PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.3N 90.2W ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM NW OF FLORES GUATEMALA ABOUT 140 MI...255 KM SE OF CIUDAD DEL CARMEN MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests along the southern Bay of Campeche should monitor the progress of Earl. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Earl was located inland over northern Guatemala near latitude 17.3 North, longitude 90.2 West. Earl is moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue during the next couple of days. On the forecast track, Earl will continue to move across northern Guatemala and southeastern Mexico tonight and Friday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is expected as the center moves over high terrain, and Earl is forecast to weaken to a tropical depression by tonight. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb (29.35 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions over a small area near the center should continue to spread westward over northern Guatemala and southeastern Mexico this afternoon. RAINFALL: Earl is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 8 to 12 inches over portions of Belize, Guatemala, and the Mexican states of Campeche, Chiapas, Quintana Roo, Tabasco and Veracruz through Friday morning. Isolated maximum amounts of 18 inches are possible in Belize, northern Guatemala and the central part of the Mexican state of Chiapas. These rains could result in life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Brennan
Tags: number
public
storm
advisory
Tropical Storm EARL Graphics
2016-08-04 16:38:52| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 04 Aug 2016 14:38:52 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 04 Aug 2016 14:35:34 GMT
Tags: graphics
storm
tropical
earl
Tropical Storm EARL Forecast Discussion Number 9
2016-08-04 16:36:42| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1000 AM CDT THU AUG 04 2016 000 WTNT45 KNHC 041436 TCDAT5 TROPICAL STORM EARL DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052016 1000 AM CDT THU AUG 04 2016 Earl is already well inland over northern Guatemala, and although visible satellite images still show a vigorous circulation, the convection is rapidly decreasing. There are no wind observations near the center, but the best estimate of the initial intensity is 45 kt. Since most of the circulation of Earl is forecast to move over the high terrain of Guatemala and southeastern Mexico, rapid weakening is anticipated. Earl is expected to degenerate into a tropical depression tonight and into a remnant low in a day or so. Earl has been moving south of due west or 265 degrees at 10 kt. The cyclone is trapped south of a ridge, and given that the steering flow is not expected to change, a continued westward track is anticipated for the next day or two. This forecast motion over land reduces the chances of reintensification in the extreme southern portion of the Bay of Campeche. Despite the current weakening, Earl is capable of producing very heavy rains over a large portion of Central America and southeastern Mexico. In addition, global models continue to show a much larger-scale cyclonic gyre over southern Mexico during the next few days. This weather pattern will likely lead to torrential rains, with isolated precipitation totals of 18 inches possible. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 04/1500Z 17.2N 89.9W 45 KT 50 MPH 12H 05/0000Z 17.5N 91.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 24H 05/1200Z 18.0N 93.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 36H 06/0000Z 18.5N 95.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 48H 06/1200Z 19.0N 97.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 72H 07/1200Z 19.5N 100.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 96H 08/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Avila
Tags: number
discussion
storm
tropical
Summary for Tropical Storm EARL (AT5/AL052016)
2016-08-04 16:35:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...EARL RAPIDLY WEAKENING OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN OF NORTHERN GUATEMALA... As of 10:00 AM CDT Thu Aug 4 the center of EARL was located near 17.2, -89.9 with movement W at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 990 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
Tags: summary
storm
tropical
earl
Tropical Storm EARL Forecast Advisory Number 9
2016-08-04 16:34:48| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC THU AUG 04 2016 000 WTNT25 KNHC 041434 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052016 1500 UTC THU AUG 04 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL COASTAL WARNINGS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE BAY OF CAMPECHE SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EARL. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 89.9W AT 04/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 20SW 20NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 89.9W AT 04/1500Z AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 89.4W FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 17.5N 91.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 18.0N 93.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 18.5N 95.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 19.0N 97.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 19.5N 100.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 89.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA
Tags: number
storm
advisory
tropical
Sites : [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] [13] [14] [15] [16] [17] [18] [19] [20] [21] [22] [23] next »