je.st
news
Tag: earl
Hurricane EARL Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6
2016-08-03 22:31:40| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC WED AUG 03 2016 000 FONT15 KNHC 032031 PWSAT5 TROPICAL STORM EARL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052016 2100 UTC WED AUG 03 2016 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT TUXPAN MX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) VERACRUZ MX 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 6(11) X(11) X(11) FRONTERA MX 34 1 3( 4) 24(28) 5(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) FRONTERA MX 50 X X( X) 10(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) FRONTERA MX 64 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MERIDA MX 34 3 4( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) COZUMEL MX 34 7 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) BELIZE CITY 34 80 9(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) BELIZE CITY 50 33 26(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) BELIZE CITY 64 8 9(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) PUERTO BARRIOS 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GUANAJA 34 94 X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) GUANAJA 50 22 X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) $$ FORECASTER AVILA
Hurricane EARL Forecast Advisory Number 6
2016-08-03 22:31:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC WED AUG 03 2016 000 WTNT25 KNHC 032031 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052016 2100 UTC WED AUG 03 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PUERTO COSTA MAYA...MEXICO...SOUTHWARD TO THE BELIZE/GUATEMALA BORDER. * BAY ISLANDS...HONDURAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH COAST OF HONDURAS FROM CABO GRACIAS A DIOS WESTWARD TO THE HONDURAS/GUATEMALA BORDER. * NORTH OF PUERTO COSTA MAYA TO PUNTA ALLEN...MEXICO. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 86.0W AT 03/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT.......120NE 80SE 30SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 90SE 90SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 86.0W AT 03/2100Z AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 85.4W FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 17.5N 87.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 80SE 30SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 18.0N 90.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 18.2N 92.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 18.5N 94.0W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 18.5N 97.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 86.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA
Tags: number
advisory
forecast
earl
Hurricane EARL Public Advisory Number 6
2016-08-03 22:31:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 400 PM CDT WED AUG 03 2016 000 WTNT35 KNHC 032031 TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM EARL ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052016 400 PM CDT WED AUG 03 2016 ...LARGE EARL HEADING FOR BELIZE... ...ANOTHER HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE CURRENTLY APPROACHING... SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.1N 86.0W ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM NE OF ISLA ROATAN HONDURAS ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM E OF BELIZE CITY MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Puerto Costa Maya, Mexico, southward to the Belize/Guatemala border. * Bay Islands, Honduras. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * North coast of Honduras from Cabo Gracias a Dios westward to the Honduras/Guatemala border. * North of Puerto Costa Maya to Punta Allen, Mexico. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Earl was located near latitude 17.1 North, longitude 86.0 West. Earl is moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue with some decrease in forward speed during the next 48 hours. On the forecast track, the core of Earl will continue to pass near the Honduras Bay Islands during the next few hours, and then make landfall in Belize tonight or early Thursday. Maximum sustained winds remain near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts, however, Earl is expected to be a hurricane by the time it reaches Belize. Weakening is expected after the center of Earl moves inland. Earl has become a large cyclone, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) primarily to the northeast of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 990 mb (29.24 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are probably occurring along the north coast of Honduras, including the Bay Islands. These conditions will reach Belize and Mexico within the hurricane and tropical storm warning area by tonight or early Thursday. Hurricane conditions are expected in the Bay Islands of Honduras during the next several hours, and in portions of the hurricane warning area in Belize and Mexico tonight or early Thursday. RAINFALL: Earl is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 8 to 12 inches over portions of Belize, Honduras, Guatemala, and the Yucatan peninsula of Mexico through Thursday night. Very heavy rain will reach the Mexican states of Tabasco and Veracruz between Thursday night and Saturday morning. Isolated maximum amounts of 16 inches are possible in Belize and Mexico. These rains could result in life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. STORM SURGE: A storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 4 to 6 feet above normal tide levels along the immediate coast of Belize and the eastern Yucatan peninsula near and to the north of where the center makes landfall. Storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 2 to 4 feet above normal tide levels in areas of onshore winds on the Bay Island of Honduras. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and damaging waves. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 700 PM CDT. Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Avila
Tags: number
public
advisory
earl
Tropical Storm EARL Graphics
2016-08-03 19:34:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 03 Aug 2016 17:34:05 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 03 Aug 2016 15:05:38 GMT
Tags: graphics
storm
tropical
earl
Summary for Tropical Storm EARL (AT5/AL052016)
2016-08-03 19:31:08| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...EARL FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN A LITTLE BEFORE LANDFALL IN BELIZE... As of 1:00 PM CDT Wed Aug 3 the center of EARL was located near 16.8, -85.6 with movement W at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 990 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 70 mph.
Tags: summary
storm
tropical
earl
Sites : [9] [10] [11] [12] [13] [14] [15] [16] [17] [18] [19] [20] [21] [22] [23] [24] [25] [26] [27] [28] next »