je.st
news
Tag: ingrid
Tropical Storm INGRID Graphics
2013-09-14 01:54:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 13 Sep 2013 23:54:30 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 13 Sep 2013 23:53:48 GMT
Tags: graphics
storm
tropical
ingrid
Tropical Storm INGRID Forecast Discussion Number 6
2013-09-14 01:53:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 700 PM CDT FRI SEP 13 2013 000 WTNT45 KNHC 132353 TCDAT5 TROPICAL STORM INGRID SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102013 700 PM CDT FRI SEP 13 2013 DATA FROM NOAA AND AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT INGRID HAS STRENGTHENED. THE CENTRAL PRESSURE HAS FALLEN TO 993 MB...AND BIAS-CORRECTED SFMR WINDS INDICATE THAT THE INTENSITY HAS INCREASED TO 50 KT. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RADAR DATA FROM MEXICO INDICATE THE PRESENTATION OF THE CYCLONE HAS ALSO IMPROVED OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS...WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF A CDO FEATURE AND A LARGE CONVECTIVE BAND TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. THE INTENSITY FORECAST HAS BEEN ADJUSTED UPWARD TO ACCOUNT FOR THE OBSERVED INTENSIFICATION AND NOW SHOWS INGRID REACHING HURRICANE INTENSITY IN 48 HOURS. AIRCRAFT DATA ALSO INDICATE THAT THE WIND FIELD HAS EXPANDED IN SIZE...AND THE INITIAL AND FORECAST WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED OUTWARD TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS AND THE NEW NHC INTENSITY FORECAST. NO CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE PREVIOUS NHC TRACK FORECAST. AS A RESULT OF THE NEW INTENSITY FORECAST...A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THE COAST OF MEXICO. IN ADDITION TO THE INCREASED THREAT OF WINDS...THE COMBINATION OF THE MOIST FLOW FROM BOTH INGRID AND TROPICAL STORM MANUEL IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC WILL PRODUCE TORRENTIAL RAINS...AND LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING OVER EASTERN MEXICO WILL REMAIN A SIGNIFICANT HAZARD OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. NOTE THAT THIS SPECIAL ADVISORY TAKES THE PLACE OF THE 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 14/0000Z 19.2N 95.3W 50 KT 60 MPH 12H 14/0600Z 19.5N 95.3W 55 KT 65 MPH 24H 14/1800Z 20.8N 95.5W 60 KT 70 MPH 36H 15/0600Z 21.7N 96.2W 60 KT 70 MPH 48H 15/1800Z 22.3N 97.3W 65 KT 75 MPH 72H 16/1800Z 22.5N 99.0W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND 96H 17/1800Z 22.5N 100.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 18/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
Tags: number
discussion
storm
tropical
Tropical Storm INGRID Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6
2013-09-14 01:53:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0000 UTC SAT SEP 14 2013 000 FONT15 KNHC 132353 PWSAT5 TROPICAL STORM INGRID SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102013 0000 UTC SAT SEP 14 2013 AT 0000Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM INGRID WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT. - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - - VALID TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - DISSIPATED X 1 2 8 16 47 NA TROP DEPRESSION 4 5 8 18 28 27 NA TROPICAL STORM 83 66 63 51 43 17 NA HURRICANE 13 29 26 23 12 10 NA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HUR CAT 1 12 27 23 20 10 7 NA HUR CAT 2 X 2 3 3 2 3 NA HUR CAT 3 X X X 1 X 1 NA HUR CAT 4 X X X X X X NA HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X NA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - FCST MAX WIND 55KT 60KT 60KT 65KT 40KT 20KT NA II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GFMX 280N 950W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) PORT O CONNOR 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) CORPUS CHRISTI 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) GFMX 270N 960W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) BROWNSVILLE TX 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 6(12) 3(15) X(15) BROWNSVILLE TX 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) GFMX 250N 960W 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 7(12) 8(20) 4(24) X(24) GFMX 250N 960W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) GFMX 250N 960W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) LA PESCO MX 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 14(21) 14(35) 5(40) X(40) LA PESCO MX 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 5(10) 2(12) X(12) LA PESCO MX 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) TAMPICO MX 34 X 2( 2) 10(12) 12(24) 13(37) 4(41) X(41) TAMPICO MX 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 5(12) 1(13) X(13) TAMPICO MX 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) TUXPAN MX 34 X 5( 5) 9(14) 5(19) 8(27) 3(30) X(30) TUXPAN MX 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) TUXPAN MX 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) VERACRUZ MX 34 9 4(13) 2(15) 1(16) 3(19) 1(20) X(20) VERACRUZ MX 50 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) VERACRUZ MX 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) FRONTERA MX 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
Summary for Tropical Storm INGRID (AT5/AL102013)
2013-09-14 01:52:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FIND INGRID STRONGER... ...HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED... As of 7:00 PM CDT Fri Sep 13 the center of INGRID was located near 19.2, -95.3 with movement Stationary. The minimum central pressure was 993 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.
Tags: summary
storm
tropical
ingrid
Tropical Storm INGRID Forecast Advisory Number 6
2013-09-14 01:52:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0000 UTC SAT SEP 14 2013 000 WTNT25 KNHC 132352 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM INGRID SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102013 0000 UTC SAT SEP 14 2013 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM NORTH OF CABO ROJO TO LA PESCA TO A HURRICANE WATCH. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF CABO ROJO TO LA PESCA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * COATZACOALCOS TO CABO ROJO A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE COAST OF EASTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 95.3W AT 14/0000Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 70NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 95.3W AT 14/0000Z AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 95.3W FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 19.5N 95.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 20.8N 95.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 21.7N 96.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 22.3N 97.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 22.5N 99.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 22.5N 100.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N 95.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
Tags: number
storm
advisory
tropical
Sites : [15] [16] [17] [18] [19] [20] [21] [22] [23] [24] [25] [26] [27] [28] [29] next »