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Tropical Storm INGRID Public Advisory Number 9

2013-09-14 16:45:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1000 AM CDT SAT SEP 14 2013 000 WTNT35 KNHC 141445 TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM INGRID ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102013 1000 AM CDT SAT SEP 14 2013 ...INGRID NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.6N 94.5W ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM NE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM E OF TUXPAN MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF CABO ROJO TO LA PESCA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * COATZACOALCOS TO CABO ROJO INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE COAST OF EASTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. A HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE NECESSARY FOR PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF EASTERN MEXICO LATER TODAY. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM INGRID WAS LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.5 WEST. INGRID IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. A TURN TO THE NORTHWEST AND THEN TO THE WEST IS ANTICIPATED ON SUNDAY. ON THE NEW FORECAST TRACK...INGRID WILL NOT REACH THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA UNTIL MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. INGRID IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 988 MB...29.18 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...INGRID IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 10 TO 15 INCHES OF RAIN OVER A LARGE PART OF EASTERN MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 25 INCHES POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE COAST WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA TODAY. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA BY LATE SUNDAY...WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE BY SUNDAY MORNING. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 PM CDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA

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Tropical Storm INGRID Forecast Advisory Number 9

2013-09-14 16:45:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC SAT SEP 14 2013 000 WTNT25 KNHC 141445 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM INGRID FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102013 1500 UTC SAT SEP 14 2013 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF CABO ROJO TO LA PESCA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * COATZACOALCOS TO CABO ROJO INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE COAST OF EASTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. A HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE NECESSARY FOR PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF EASTERN MEXICO LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 94.5W AT 14/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 70NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 90SE 60SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 94.5W AT 14/1500Z AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 94.6W FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 21.4N 94.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 22.0N 94.7W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 22.5N 96.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 22.5N 97.3W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 22.0N 99.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 21.5N 99.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 94.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA

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Tropical Storm INGRID Graphics

2013-09-14 13:52:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 14 Sep 2013 11:52:39 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 14 Sep 2013 09:07:32 GMT

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Summary for Tropical Storm INGRID (AT5/AL102013)

2013-09-14 13:49:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...NOAA AND AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANES FIND INGRID A LITTLE STRONGER... As of 7:00 AM CDT Sat Sep 14 the center of INGRID was located near 20.3, -94.5 with movement NNE at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 989 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 65 mph.

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Tropical Storm INGRID Public Advisory Number 8A

2013-09-14 13:49:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 700 AM CDT SAT SEP 14 2013 000 WTNT35 KNHC 141149 TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM INGRID INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102013 700 AM CDT SAT SEP 14 2013 ...NOAA AND AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANES FIND INGRID A LITTLE STRONGER... SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.3N 94.5W ABOUT 130 MI...205 KM NE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO ABOUT 195 MI...310 KM ESE OF TUXPAN MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...105 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...8 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.20 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF CABO ROJO TO LA PESCA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * COATZACOALCOS TO CABO ROJO INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE COAST OF EASTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. A HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE NECESSARY FOR PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF EASTERN MEXICO LATER TODAY. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM INGRID WAS LOCATED BY RECONNAISSANCE PLANES NEAR LATITUDE 20.3 NORTH... LONGITUDE 94.5 WEST. INGRID IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH...8 KM/H. A TURN TO THE NORTH WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY. INGRID SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST ON SUNDAY AND THEN TURN TOWARD THE WEST BY SUNDAY NIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...INGRID WILL APPROACH THE COAST IN THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA ON SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...105 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND INGRID IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY TONIGHT OR SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY BOTH NOAA AND AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANES IS 989 MB...29.20 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...INGRID IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 10 TO 15 INCHES OF RAIN OVER A LARGE PART OF EASTERN MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 25 INCHES POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE COAST WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA TODAY. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA BY LATE SUNDAY...WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE BY SUNDAY MORNING. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA

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