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Tropical Storm CRISTOBAL Forecast Advisory Number 7

2014-08-25 10:56:11| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC MON AUG 25 2014 000 WTNT24 KNHC 250855 TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042014 0900 UTC MON AUG 25 2014 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 72.8W AT 25/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 5 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 30SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 72.8W AT 25/0900Z AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 72.9W FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 25.2N 72.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 80NE 120SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 26.8N 71.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...100NE 120SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 29.3N 70.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...100NE 120SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 31.5N 70.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...100NE 120SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 35.2N 66.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...110NE 140SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 40.5N 53.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 48.5N 41.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.5N 72.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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Tropical Storm CRISTOBAL Graphics

2014-08-25 07:53:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 25 Aug 2014 05:53:56 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 25 Aug 2014 03:05:47 GMT

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Summary for Tropical Storm CRISTOBAL (AT4/AL042014)

2014-08-25 07:53:04| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...CRISTOBAL MEANDERING NORTH OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS.... As of 2:00 AM EDT Mon Aug 25 the center of CRISTOBAL was located near 24.5, -72.9 with movement Stationary. The minimum central pressure was 996 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.

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Tropical Storm CRISTOBAL Public Advisory Number 6A

2014-08-25 07:53:04| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 200 AM EDT MON AUG 25 2014 000 WTNT34 KNHC 250552 TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042014 200 AM EDT MON AUG 25 2014 ...CRISTOBAL MEANDERING NORTH OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS.... SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.5N 72.9W ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM ENE OF SAN SALVADOR MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.9 WEST. DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT CRISTOBAL HAS MOVED LITTLE DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. A SLOW NORTHWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO RESUME THIS MORNING. A SLIGHTLY FASTER MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH AND NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF CRISTOBAL WILL PASS TO THE EAST OF THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS THROUGH TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES... 195 KM...PRIMARILY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AS WELL AS THE SOUTHEASTERN AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS AROUND 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR OVER PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. STRONG GUSTY WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS THIS MORNING. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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