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Summary for Tropical Depression NINETEEN-E (EP4/EP192016)
2016-09-26 23:37:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVES INTO CENTRAL PACIFIC BASIN... As of 2:00 PM PDT Mon Sep 26 the center of NINETEEN-E was located near 11.6, -140.4 with movement WNW at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression NINETEEN-E Public Advisory Number 2
2016-09-26 23:37:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT MON SEP 26 2016 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 262136 CCA TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER 2...CORRECTED NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192016 200 PM PDT MON SEP 26 2016 CORRECTED NINETEEN TO NINETEEN-E ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVES INTO CENTRAL PACIFIC BASIN... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...11.6N 140.4W ABOUT 1125 MI...1810 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Nineteen-E was located near latitude 11.6 North, longitude 140.4 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through tonight. A gradual turn toward the north is expected on Tuesday, followed by a turn toward the north-northeast late Tuesday or Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some slight increase in strength is expected during the next 24 hours. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Future information on this system can be found in Public Advisories issued by the Central Pacific Hurricane Center beginning at 500 PM HST, under AWIPS header HFOTCPCP2, WMO header WTPA32 PHFO, and on the web at http://www.prh.noaa.gov/cphc. $$ Forecaster Kimberlain
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Tropical Depression NINETEEN-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2
2016-09-26 23:37:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON SEP 26 2016 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 262136 CCA PWSEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2...CORRECTED NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192016 2100 UTC MON SEP 26 2016 CORREC AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 140.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 135W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 10N 140W 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 15N 140W 34 X 5( 5) 19(24) 13(37) 5(42) 1(43) X(43) 15N 140W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) 15N 140W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
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Tropical Depression NINETEEN-E Forecast Advisory Number 2
2016-09-26 23:35:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON SEP 26 2016 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 262134 CCA TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2...CORRECTED NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192016 2100 UTC MON SEP 26 2016 CORRECTED NINETEEN TO NINETEEN-E THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 140.4W AT 26/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 140.4W AT 26/2100Z AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 140.2W FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 12.3N 140.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 13.0N 140.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 13.9N 139.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 15.0N 139.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 16.3N 139.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 17.1N 141.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 17.2N 144.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.6N 140.4W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN FORECAST/ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER BEGINNING AT 0300 UTC...UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCMCP2...WMO HEADER WTPA22 PHFO. $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
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Tropical Depression NINETEEN-E Graphics
2016-09-26 17:06:16| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 26 Sep 2016 14:42:26 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 26 Sep 2016 15:06:12 GMT
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