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Summary for Tropical Depression CINDY (AT3/AL032017)
2017-06-22 16:34:15| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...CINDY WEAKENS BUT HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE... As of 10:00 AM CDT Thu Jun 22 the center of CINDY was located near 31.0, -93.5 with movement N at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 997 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression CINDY Public Advisory Number 12
2017-06-22 16:34:15| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1000 AM CDT Thu Jun 22 2017 000 WTNT33 KNHC 221434 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Cindy Advisory Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032017 1000 AM CDT Thu Jun 22 2017 ...CINDY WEAKENS BUT HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.0N 93.5W ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM NW OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Tropical Storm Warning from High Island Texas to Morgan City Louisiana has been discontinued. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches of warnings in effect. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Cindy was located near latitude 31.0 North, longitude 93.5 West. The depression is moving toward the north near 13 mph (20 km/h), and a turn toward the north-northeast is expected later today, followed by a turn toward the northeast on Friday. On the forecast track, Cindy or its remnants will move into southeastern Arkansas early Friday, and into Tennessee later on Friday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast and the depression is expected to become a remnant low by Friday if not sooner. The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Cindy is expected to produce rain accumulations of 3 to 6 inches with isolated maximum amounts up to 8 inches over extreme eastern Texas, Louisiana, and southern and eastern Arkansas through Friday morning. Additional rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches over southern Mississippi, southern and central Alabama, and extreme western Florida Panhandle are expected through Friday morning. This may bring storm total rainfall in excess of 15 inches in some isolated locations. This rainfall could cause life-threatening flash flooding in these areas. Heavy rainfall will expand across the Tennessee and Ohio valleys today and across the central Appalachians Friday into Saturday. Rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches are expected through Friday morning. WIND: Gusts of tropical storm force in a few squalls are still possible mainly to the east of the depression. STORM SURGE: Inundation of 1 to 3 feet above ground level is still possible along the northern Gulf of Mexico coast in areas of strong onshore winds. TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible through tonight from the lower Mississippi and Tennessee Valley regions to the central Gulf Coast. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Future information on this system can be found in Public Advisories issued by the Weather Prediction Center beginning at 4 PM CDT, under AWIPS header TCPAT3, WMO header WTNT33 KWNH, and on the web at http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov. $$ Forecaster Avila
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Tropical Depression TWENTY-E Graphics
2016-10-23 16:33:52| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 23 Oct 2016 14:33:52 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 23 Oct 2016 14:32:34 GMT
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Tropical Depression TWENTY-E Forecast Discussion Number 2
2016-10-23 16:32:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1000 AM CDT SUN OCT 23 2016 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 231432 TCDEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202016 1000 AM CDT SUN OCT 23 2016 Although the depression is producing a considerable amount of deep convection, the cloud pattern is highly stretched from north-northeast to south-southwest. Microwave images from earlier this morning indicate that the low-level structure of the system is well organized despite the elongated appearance in geostationary satellite images. The initial intensity is held at 30 kt for this advisory. A band of strong upper-level south-southwesterly winds lies just to the north of the cyclone, and they could be contributing to its aforementioned appearance in satellite images. The global models are in agreement in showing the upper-level wind environment becoming more favorable for strengthening during the next few days. The expected low wind shear combined with warm water and high humidity values suggest that steady strengthening is likely during the next 72 hours. After that time, a notable increase in southwesterly shear and cooler waters should end the strengthening trend and cause weakening. The NHC intensity forecast shows a slightly higher peak intensity than the previous one, but it is lower than the SHIPS and LGEM models. The depression is moving west-northwestward at 14 kt. A continued west-northwestward motion with a decrease in forward speed is expected during the next few days while the cyclone moves along the southwestern periphery of a high pressure system located over Mexico. By the end of the forecast period, a deep-layer low is forecast to erode the ridge and should cause the cyclone to slow down even more and turn northwestward. The NHC track forecast is very close to the multi-model consensus TVCN for the next 4 days, but lies to the left of that aid at 120 h in favor of the ECMWF model. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 23/1500Z 13.5N 105.0W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 24/0000Z 14.1N 106.6W 40 KT 45 MPH 24H 24/1200Z 14.9N 108.9W 45 KT 50 MPH 36H 25/0000Z 15.6N 111.4W 55 KT 65 MPH 48H 25/1200Z 16.1N 113.7W 65 KT 75 MPH 72H 26/1200Z 17.3N 117.9W 70 KT 80 MPH 96H 27/1200Z 19.3N 120.9W 55 KT 65 MPH 120H 28/1200Z 21.0N 122.5W 40 KT 45 MPH $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Summary for Tropical Depression TWENTY-E (EP5/EP202016)
2016-10-23 16:32:18| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN... ...NO THREAT TO LAND... As of 10:00 AM CDT Sun Oct 23 the center of TWENTY-E was located near 13.5, -105.0 with movement WNW at 16 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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