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Tropical Depression EIGHTEEN-E Forecast Advisory Number 3

2016-09-26 04:42:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC MON SEP 26 2016 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 260242 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182016 0300 UTC MON SEP 26 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 120.1W AT 26/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 120.1W AT 26/0300Z AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 120.0W FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 17.2N 119.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 70SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 17.8N 119.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 80SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 18.7N 118.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 80SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 19.9N 118.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 22.6N 117.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 24.6N 119.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N 120.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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Tropical Depression EIGHTEEN-E Graphics

2016-09-25 23:07:43| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 25 Sep 2016 20:32:49 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 25 Sep 2016 21:04:35 GMT

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Summary for Tropical Depression EIGHTEEN-E (EP3/EP182016)

2016-09-25 22:31:43| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY MONDAY... As of 2:00 PM PDT Sun Sep 25 the center of EIGHTEEN-E was located near 16.1, -119.6 with movement N at 6 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

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Tropical Depression EIGHTEEN-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2

2016-09-25 22:31:43| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC SUN SEP 25 2016 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 252031 PWSEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182016 2100 UTC SUN SEP 25 2016 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 119.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA CLARION 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 20N 115W 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) 25N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 15N 120W 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 20N 120W 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 25N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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Tropical Depression EIGHTEEN-E Graphics

2016-09-25 18:52:42| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 25 Sep 2016 16:52:42 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 25 Sep 2016 16:51:33 GMT

Tags: graphics tropical depression tropical depression

 

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