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Tropical Depression EIGHT Forecast Advisory Number 11
2016-08-31 04:40:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC WED AUG 31 2016 000 WTNT23 KNHC 310239 TCMAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082016 0300 UTC WED AUG 31 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.5N 74.6W AT 31/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.5N 74.6W AT 31/0300Z AT 31/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 74.7W FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 35.4N 73.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 20NE 30SE 30SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 37.1N 71.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 50SE 40SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 39.3N 66.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 80SE 60SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 41.5N 59.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 90SE 70SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 45.1N 45.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 110SE 70SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.5N 74.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
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Summary for Tropical Depression EIGHT (AT3/AL082016)
2016-08-31 04:39:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...DEPRESSION MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AWAY FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST... As of 11:00 PM EDT Tue Aug 30 the center of EIGHT was located near 34.5, -74.6 with movement NE at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1011 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression EIGHT Public Advisory Number 11
2016-08-31 04:39:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM EDT TUE AUG 30 2016 000 WTNT33 KNHC 310239 TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082016 1100 PM EDT TUE AUG 30 2016 ...DEPRESSION MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AWAY FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...34.5N 74.6W ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM SE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Eight was located near latitude 34.5 North, longitude 74.6 West. The depression is moving toward the northeast near 5 mph (7 km/h). A northeastward and then east-northeastward motion with an increase in forward speed is expected during the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the depression will continue to move away from the coast of North Carolina. Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the depression could become a tropical storm on Wednesday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1011 mb (29.86 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Berg
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Summary for Tropical Depression NINE (AT4/AL092016)
2016-08-31 01:56:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND DEPRESSION MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WITH NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH... As of 7:00 PM CDT Tue Aug 30 the center of NINE was located near 24.2, -87.7 with movement WNW at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression NINE Public Advisory Number 9A
2016-08-31 01:56:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 700 PM CDT TUE AUG 30 2016 000 WTNT34 KNHC 302356 TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 9A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016 700 PM CDT TUE AUG 30 2016 ...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND DEPRESSION MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WITH NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH... SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.2N 87.7W ABOUT 375 MI...600 KM W OF KEY WEST FLORIDA ABOUT 345 MI...555 KM WNW OF HAVANA CUBA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Anclote River to Indian Pass A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * West of Indian Pass to the Walton/Bay County line A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests along the United States east coast from northern Florida through the Carolinas should monitor the progress of this system. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Nine was located near latitude 24.2 North, longitude 87.7 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h). A turn toward the north-northwest is expected tonight, followed by a turn toward the north-northeast on Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center will approach the northwest Florida coast in the watch area on Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm tonight or early Wednesday. The minimum central pressure recently reported by a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft was 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible over portions of the Hurricane Watch area by Thursday afternoon. Tropical storm conditions are possible over portions of the Tropical Storm Watch area by Thursday afternoon. STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. There is a possibility of life-threatening inundation within the next 48 hours along the Gulf coast of Florida from Aripeka to Indian Pass. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the Prototype National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic. Persons located within these areas should be prepared to take all necessary actions to protect life and property from rising water. Promptly follow any instructions from local officials. The water could reach the following heights above ground if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Indian Pass to Aripeka...2 to 4 feet Aripeka to Bonita Beach...including Tampa Bay...1 to 2 feet The Prototype National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic is a depiction of areas that would qualify for inclusion under a storm surge watch or warning currently under development by the National Weather Service and planned for operational use in 2017. This prototype graphic is available at www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?wsurge RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce additional rain accumulations of 3 to 5 inches over western Cuba through Wednesday, with maximum storm total amounts up to 20 inches. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. Storm total rainfall amounts of 5 to 10 inches are possible over much of the Florida peninsula through Friday morning, with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches possible. This rainfall may cause flooding and flash flooding. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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