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Tropical Depression EIGHT Wind Speed Probabilities Number 15

2016-09-01 04:41:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC THU SEP 01 2016 000 FONT13 KNHC 010241 PWSAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082016 0300 UTC THU SEP 01 2016 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA

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Summary for Tropical Depression EIGHT (AT3/AL082016)

2016-09-01 04:41:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...DEPRESSION LIKELY TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL IN ABOUT A DAY... As of 11:00 PM EDT Wed Aug 31 the center of EIGHT was located near 36.7, -70.1 with movement ENE at 18 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1010 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.

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Tropical Depression EIGHT Public Advisory Number 15

2016-09-01 04:41:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 PM EDT WED AUG 31 2016 000 WTNT33 KNHC 010241 TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082016 1100 PM EDT WED AUG 31 2016 ...DEPRESSION LIKELY TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL IN ABOUT A DAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...36.7N 70.1W ABOUT 320 MI...515 KM ENE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA ABOUT 1110 MI...1790 KM WSW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Eight was located near latitude 36.7 North, longitude 70.1 West. The depression is moving toward the east-northeast near 18 mph (30 km/h). The system should accelerate toward the same direction during the next 36 hours. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next day or so. The system should become an extratropical cyclone in about a day. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb (29.83 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Landsea

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Tropical Depression EIGHT Forecast Advisory Number 15

2016-09-01 04:41:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC THU SEP 01 2016 000 WTNT23 KNHC 010241 TCMAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082016 0300 UTC THU SEP 01 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.7N 70.1W AT 01/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 65 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.7N 70.1W AT 01/0300Z AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.2N 71.2W FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 38.2N 66.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 40.5N 60.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 90SE 60SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 43.0N 54.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 90SE 120SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.7N 70.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA

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Tropical Depression EIGHT Graphics

2016-08-31 22:36:42| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 31 Aug 2016 20:36:42 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 31 Aug 2016 20:35:37 GMT

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