je.st
news
Tag: depression
Tropical Depression Four-E Forecast Discussion Number 2
2020-06-30 10:35:28| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 AM MDT Tue Jun 30 2020 000 WTPZ44 KNHC 300835 TCDEP4 Tropical Depression Four-E Discussion Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042020 300 AM MDT Tue Jun 30 2020 Deep convection associated with the depression has waned since last night and is now limited to a small burst displaced more than 75 n mi northeast of the cyclone's low-level center. An ASCAT-B pass at 0517 UTC showed max winds of only 20-25 kt, so the intensity has been lowered to 25 kt. The cyclone is now located over 24 deg C waters and substantial redevelopment or organization of convection is unlikely. It is therefore forecast to become a remnant low later today. The remnant low should then spin down over the course of the next couple of days until it dissipates later this week. The depression has continued to move slowly northwestward, steered by a mid-level ridge to its east. Once the cyclone becomes a remnant low later today, weak low-level steering flow will likely cause the system to meander for a few days until it dissipates. The NHC forecast (both track and intensity) is mostly unchanged from the previous advisory. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 30/0900Z 20.6N 113.2W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 30/1800Z 20.9N 113.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 01/0600Z 21.0N 113.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 01/1800Z 21.2N 113.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 02/0600Z 21.6N 114.0W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 02/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
Tags: number
discussion
tropical
depression
Summary for Tropical Depression Four-E (EP4/EP042020)
2020-06-30 10:34:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DEPRESSION FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY... As of 3:00 AM MDT Tue Jun 30 the center of Four-E was located near 20.6, -113.2 with movement SW at 3 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.
Tags: summary
tropical
depression
tropical depression
Tropical Depression Four-E Public Advisory Number 2
2020-06-30 10:34:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 AM MDT Tue Jun 30 2020 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 300834 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Four-E Advisory Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042020 300 AM MDT Tue Jun 30 2020 ...DEPRESSION FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.6N 113.2W ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 215 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Four-E was located near latitude 20.6 North, longitude 113.2 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 3 mph (6 km/h). A slow meandering motion is anticipated for the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. The system is forecast to become a remnant low later today. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
Tags: number
public
advisory
tropical
Tropical Depression Four-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2
2020-06-30 10:34:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE JUN 30 2020 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 300834 PWSEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042020 0900 UTC TUE JUN 30 2020 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 20N 115W 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
Tags: number
speed
wind
tropical
Tropical Depression Four-E Forecast Advisory Number 2
2020-06-30 10:33:26| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE JUN 30 2020 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 300833 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042020 0900 UTC TUE JUN 30 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 113.2W AT 30/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 215 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 113.2W AT 30/0900Z AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 112.9W FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 20.9N 113.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 21.0N 113.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 21.2N 113.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 21.6N 114.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 113.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
Tags: number
advisory
tropical
depression
Sites : [460] [461] [462] [463] [464] [465] [466] [467] [468] [469] [470] [471] [472] [473] [474] [475] [476] [477] [478] [479] next »