Home › depression
 

Keywords :   


Tag: depression

Tropical Depression Five Public Advisory Number 2

2020-07-04 22:30:17| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 500 PM AST Sat Jul 04 2020 000 WTNT35 KNHC 042030 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Five Advisory Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052020 500 PM AST Sat Jul 04 2020 ...DEPRESSION MOVING QUICKLY EAST-NORTHEASTWARD... ...FORECAST TO MOVE PAST BERMUDA OVERNIGHT... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.8N 67.3W ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM WSW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of this system. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Five was located near latitude 31.8 North, longitude 67.3 West. The depression is moving toward the east-northeast near 16 mph (26 km/h). A faster east-northeastward motion is expected tonight, followed by additional acceleration on Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of the depression will move near or just northwest and north of Bermuda tonight and early Sunday. Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little overall change in strength is likely, however the system could become a tropical storm tonight or early Sunday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical Depression Five could cause gusty conditions on Bermuda and over the nearby waters later today or tonight. The Bermuda Weather Service has issued a Gale Warning. For more information please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. RAIN: Tropical Depression Five is expected to produce total rain accumulations of less than 1 inch with possible isolated maximum amounts of 3 inches in Bermuda. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

Tags: number public advisory tropical

 

Tropical Depression Five Forecast Advisory Number 2

2020-07-04 22:30:17| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC SAT JUL 04 2020 000 WTNT25 KNHC 042030 TCMAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052020 2100 UTC SAT JUL 04 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 67.3W AT 04/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 65 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 67.3W AT 04/2100Z AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 68.0W FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 33.1N 65.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 35.3N 61.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 38.3N 56.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 41.0N 50.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 44.0N 43.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.8N 67.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY

Tags: number advisory tropical depression

 
 

Tropical Depression Five Graphics

2020-07-04 16:52:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 04 Jul 2020 14:52:29 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 04 Jul 2020 14:52:29 GMT

Tags: graphics tropical depression tropical depression

 

Tropical Depression Five Forecast Discussion Number 1

2020-07-04 16:51:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 AM AST Sat Jul 04 2020 000 WTNT45 KNHC 041451 TCDAT5 Tropical Depression Five Discussion Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052020 1100 AM AST Sat Jul 04 2020 Late yesterday, a small low pressure system developed near the end of a boundary over the western Atlantic. The low persisted overnight while producing convection that has shown increasing signs of organization. Although the low's center has recently become obscured, earlier one-minute visible imagery confirmed that it is well-defined. The system therefore meets the necessary criteria to be designated as a tropical cyclone. A TAFB Dvorak classification of 2.0 is the basis for the 30 kt initial intensity. The depression is moving quickly toward the east-northeast, caught in the flow between a mid-level ridge to its south and a a trough to its north. This steering pattern is expected to be fairly stable for the next day or so, and the guidance is in good agreement that the cyclone will continue on its current general heading with an increase in forward speed during the next couple of days. The NHC track forecast closely follows the TVCN and HCCA consensus aids. The depression has a sheared appearance, with no convection northwest of its low-level center. A combination of strong upper-level westerly winds and dry mid-level air to the northwest are likely the cause of this, and it is unlikely that the cyclone will get much better organized during the next day or two. That said, some minimal strengthening is possible, even if only due to the expected increase of the cyclone's forward speed. The NHC intensity forecast is based on a consensus of the HWRF, HMON, and GFS models. It is worth noting that the statistical guidance indicates more strengthening is possible, but this is not currently supported by any dynamical models. There is less agreement on the system's future beyond the weekend. It could open into a trough and dissipate or persist long enough to undergo extratropical transition. Since this is the first advisory, the official forecast is somewhat conservative and maintains the system as a closed low for 60 h, but it could certainly dissipate sooner than that. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 04/1500Z 31.1N 68.7W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 05/0000Z 32.1N 66.5W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 05/1200Z 34.0N 63.5W 35 KT 40 MPH 36H 06/0000Z 36.4N 59.4W 35 KT 40 MPH 48H 06/1200Z 39.2N 52.7W 35 KT 40 MPH 60H 07/0000Z 41.7N 46.8W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 72H 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

Tags: number discussion tropical depression

 

Summary for Tropical Depression Five (AT5/AL052020)

2020-07-04 16:50:08| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC... As of 11:00 AM AST Sat Jul 4 the center of Five was located near 31.1, -68.7 with movement ENE at 17 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1009 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

Tags: summary tropical depression tropical depression

 

Sites : [457] [458] [459] [460] [461] [462] [463] [464] [465] [466] [467] [468] [469] [470] [471] [472] [473] [474] [475] [476] next »