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Summary for Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E (EP1/EP212019)
2019-11-18 09:31:38| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW BY EARLY TUESDAY... As of 3:00 AM CST Mon Nov 18 the center of Twenty-One-E was located near 12.2, -105.0 with movement NW at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.
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Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E Public Advisory Number 9
2019-11-18 09:31:38| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2019 166 WTPZ31 KNHC 180831 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E Advisory Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212019 300 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2019 ...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW BY EARLY TUESDAY... SUMMARY OF 300 AM CST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.2N 105.0W ABOUT 470 MI...760 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 AM CST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E was located near latitude 12.2 North, longitude 105.0 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A westward motion at a slower forward speed is expected for the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. The depression is expected to become a remnant by early Tuesday and dissipate by Wednesday night or Thursday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 AM CST. $$ Forecaster Brennan
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Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9
2019-11-18 09:31:38| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC MON NOV 18 2019 174 FOPZ11 KNHC 180831 PWSEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212019 0900 UTC MON NOV 18 2019 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT 8 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
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Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E Forecast Advisory Number 9
2019-11-18 09:31:10| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC MON NOV 18 2019 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 180831 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212019 0900 UTC MON NOV 18 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 105.0W AT 18/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 105.0W AT 18/0900Z AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 104.8W FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 12.3N 105.8W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 12.4N 106.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 12.5N 107.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 12.5N 108.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.2N 105.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
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Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E Graphics
2019-11-18 03:36:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 18 Nov 2019 02:36:41 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 18 Nov 2019 03:24:16 GMT
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