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Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E Public Advisory Number 5
2019-11-17 09:39:27| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 AM CST Sun Nov 17 2019 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 170839 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E Advisory Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212019 300 AM CST Sun Nov 17 2019 ...POORLY ORGANIZED DEPRESSION MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD... SUMMARY OF 300 AM CST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...10.0N 102.2W ABOUT 535 MI...860 KM S OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 AM CST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E was located near latitude 10.0 North, longitude 102.2 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue during the next few days. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast, and the depression could dissipate or degenerate into a remnant low within the next couple of days. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 AM CST. $$ Forecaster Brown
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Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5
2019-11-17 09:39:27| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN NOV 17 2019 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 170839 PWSEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212019 0900 UTC SUN NOV 17 2019 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT 8 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 10N 105W 34 X 6( 6) 6(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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Tropical Depression Raymond Graphics
2019-11-17 09:39:20| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 17 Nov 2019 08:39:20 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 17 Nov 2019 08:39:20 GMT
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Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E Forecast Advisory Number 5
2019-11-17 09:39:01| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN NOV 17 2019 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 170838 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212019 0900 UTC SUN NOV 17 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 102.2W AT 17/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 102.2W AT 17/0900Z AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.9N 101.9W FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 10.3N 103.2W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 10.6N 104.3W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 10.9N 105.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 11.2N 106.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.0N 102.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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Summary for Tropical Depression Raymond (EP5/EP202019)
2019-11-17 09:38:23| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...RAYMOND WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... ...RAIN HEADING TOWARD THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA... As of 2:00 AM MST Sun Nov 17 the center of Raymond was located near 17.5, -111.6 with movement N at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1003 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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