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Tropical Storm ELIDA Forecast Advisory Number 5

2014-07-01 16:34:37| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC TUE JUL 01 2014 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 011434 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM ELIDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052014 1500 UTC TUE JUL 01 2014 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ADJUSTED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING...WHICH NOW EXTENDS FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO MANZANILLO. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * LAZARO CARDENAS TO MANZANILLO TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 104.3W AT 01/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 104.3W AT 01/1500Z AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 104.3W FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 17.3N 104.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 17.1N 104.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 17.0N 104.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 17.0N 104.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 17.0N 106.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 17.0N 108.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 17.0N 111.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N 104.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA

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Tropical Storm ELIDA Graphics

2014-07-01 13:36:11| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 01 Jul 2014 11:36:11 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 01 Jul 2014 09:07:17 GMT

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Summary for Tropical Storm ELIDA (EP5/EP052014)

2014-07-01 13:35:07| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...ELIDA MEANDERING OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH... As of 5:00 AM PDT Tue Jul 1 the center of ELIDA was located near 17.4, -104.3 with movement Stationary. The minimum central pressure was 1003 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.

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Tropical Storm ELIDA Public Advisory Number 4A

2014-07-01 13:35:07| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 500 AM PDT TUE JUL 01 2014 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 011135 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ELIDA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052014 500 AM PDT TUE JUL 01 2014 ...ELIDA MEANDERING OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH... SUMMARY OF 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.4N 104.3W ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * LAZARO CARDENAS TO CABO CORRIENTES FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ELIDA REMAINED LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.3 WEST. ELIDA HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. A SLOW SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST MOTION IS EXPECTED TODAY AND WEDNESDAY... FOLLOWED BY A SLOW WESTWARD MOTION WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ELIDA AND THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN OFFSHORE OF THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...ELIDA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF COLIMA AND MICHOACAN...AND OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN PORTION OF JALISCO. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE STILL POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY ELIDA ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENTS. FOR MORE INFORMATION... PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA

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