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Summary for Tropical Storm ELIDA (EP5/EP052014)

2014-07-01 01:50:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...ELIDA MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD... As of 5:00 PM PDT Mon Jun 30 the center of ELIDA was located near 17.4, -104.4 with movement WNW at 3 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1003 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.

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Tropical Storm ELIDA Public Advisory Number 2A

2014-07-01 01:50:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 500 PM PDT MON JUN 30 2014 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 302350 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ELIDA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052014 500 PM PDT MON JUN 30 2014 ...ELIDA MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD... SUMMARY OF 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.4N 104.4W ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * LAZARO CARDENAS TO CABO CORRIENTES FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ELIDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.4 WEST. ELIDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY AN ADDITIONAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON TUESDAY. ALTHOUGH SOME ERRATIC MOTION COULD OCCUR ON WEDNESDAY...THE CENTER OF ELIDA AND THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN OFFSHORE OF THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO IN THE WARNING AREA. THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO EXPAND NORTHWESTWARD IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. RAINFALL...ELIDA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF COLIMA AND MICHOACAN...AND OVER THE SOUTHWEST PORTION OF JALISCO. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS. SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY ELIDA ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENTS. FOR MORE INFORMATION... PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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Tropical Storm ELIDA Graphics

2014-06-30 23:13:18| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 30 Jun 2014 20:46:53 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 30 Jun 2014 21:05:30 GMT

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Tropical Storm ELIDA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2

2014-06-30 22:46:34| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC MON JUN 30 2014 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 302046 PWSEP5 TROPICAL STORM ELIDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052014 2100 UTC MON JUN 30 2014 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ELIDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SAN BLAS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) P VALLARTA 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 5 7(12) 4(16) 5(21) 2(23) 1(24) X(24) BARRA NAVIDAD 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) MANZANILLO 34 6 7(13) 3(16) 5(21) 2(23) X(23) 1(24) MANZANILLO 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) L CARDENAS 34 1 2( 3) 4( 7) 2( 9) 3(12) 1(13) X(13) ZIHUATANEJO 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ACAPULCO 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 6(10) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) $$ FORECASTER STEWART

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Summary for Tropical Storm ELIDA (EP5/EP052014)

2014-06-30 22:46:32| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...ELIDA SLOWS DOWN TO THE SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO... As of 2:00 PM PDT Mon Jun 30 the center of ELIDA was located near 17.4, -104.2 with movement WNW at 3 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1003 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.

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