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Tropical Storm ELIDA Graphics
2014-07-01 07:41:20| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 01 Jul 2014 05:41:20 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 01 Jul 2014 03:07:16 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm ELIDA (EP5/EP052014)
2014-07-01 07:40:38| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...ELIDA MOVING SLOWLY NEAR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO... As of 11:00 PM PDT Mon Jun 30 the center of ELIDA was located near 17.5, -104.4 with movement WNW at 2 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1003 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
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Tropical Storm ELIDA Public Advisory Number 3A
2014-07-01 07:40:38| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1100 PM PDT MON JUN 30 2014 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 010540 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ELIDA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052014 1100 PM PDT MON JUN 30 2014 ...ELIDA MOVING SLOWLY NEAR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.5N 104.4W ABOUT 105 MI...165 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * LAZARO CARDENAS TO CABO CORRIENTES FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ELIDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.4 WEST. ELIDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/H...AND A SLOW WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT. ELIDA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY ON TUESDAY...AND MEANDER OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ELIDA AND THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN OFFSHORE OF THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO EXPAND NORTHWESTWARD IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. RAINFALL...ELIDA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF COLIMA AND MICHOACAN...AND OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN PORTION OF JALISCO. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS. SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY ELIDA ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENTS. FOR MORE INFORMATION... PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
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Tropical Storm ELIDA Graphics
2014-07-01 05:18:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 01 Jul 2014 02:49:30 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 01 Jul 2014 03:07:16 GMT
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elida
Tropical Storm ELIDA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3
2014-07-01 04:45:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC TUE JUL 01 2014 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 010245 PWSEP5 TROPICAL STORM ELIDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052014 0300 UTC TUE JUL 01 2014 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ELIDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SAN BLAS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) P VALLARTA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 4 6(10) 4(14) 3(17) 2(19) 2(21) X(21) MANZANILLO 34 5 6(11) 4(15) 4(19) 1(20) 1(21) X(21) L CARDENAS 34 1 2( 3) 3( 6) 3( 9) 2(11) 1(12) 1(13) ZIHUATANEJO 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) ACAPULCO 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 6(10) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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