je.st
news
Tag: lisa
Tropical Depression LISA Forecast Advisory Number 18
2016-09-24 04:47:34| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT SEP 24 2016 000 WTNT23 KNHC 240247 TCMAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132016 0300 UTC SAT SEP 24 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 37.3W AT 24/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 30SE 30SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 37.3W AT 24/0300Z AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 36.8W FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 23.9N 38.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 25.0N 40.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 26.4N 42.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 28.8N 42.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.2N 37.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN/ZELINSKY
Tags: number
lisa
advisory
tropical
Summary for Tropical Depression LISA (AT3/AL132016)
2016-09-23 22:33:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...LISA WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW TOMORROW... As of 5:00 PM AST Fri Sep 23 the center of LISA was located near 22.5, -36.5 with movement NW at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1009 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
Tags: summary
lisa
tropical
depression
Tropical Storm LISA Forecast Discussion Number 16
2016-09-23 16:34:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST FRI SEP 23 2016 000 WTNT43 KNHC 231434 TCDAT3 TROPICAL STORM LISA DISCUSSION NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132016 1100 AM AST FRI SEP 23 2016 Lisa's center remains exposed to the southwest of the deep convection due to around 40 kt of southwesterly shear as analyzed by UW-CIMSS and the SHIPS model fields. The initial intensity remains 35 kt based on the latest Dvorak estimate from TAFB, but this could be a little generous. Strong shear is expected to continue for the next 24 to 36 hours. This shear, in combination with a drying mid-level atmosphere and marginal SSTs, should result in weakening. Lisa is forecast to weaken to a tropical depression tonight, and become a remnant low in 24 to 36 hours, as organized deep convection is expected to decay in the harsh environment. The remnant low of Lisa is forecast to open up into a trough in 3 to 4 days, in agreement with the latest GFS and ECMWF solutions. The initial motion estimate is 315/06. Lisa should continue moving generally northwestward around the subtropical ridge for the next 36 hours. After that time, the decaying system should recurve ahead of a deep-layer trough moving across the northern Atlantic. The new NHC track forecast is close to the previous one through 24 hours and has been nudged westward at 36 and 48 hours following the latest trend in the guidance. This forecast is close to the multi-model consensus aid TVCN and the GEFS ensemble mean. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 23/1500Z 22.2N 36.3W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 24/0000Z 23.1N 37.5W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 24/1200Z 24.2N 39.5W 30 KT 35 MPH 36H 25/0000Z 25.4N 41.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 25/1200Z 27.4N 42.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 26/1200Z 31.5N 40.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 27/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Brennan
Tags: number
discussion
storm
lisa
Tropical Storm LISA Graphics
2016-09-23 16:33:15| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 23 Sep 2016 14:33:15 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 23 Sep 2016 14:31:36 GMT
Tags: graphics
storm
lisa
tropical
Tropical Storm LISA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 16
2016-09-23 16:32:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI SEP 23 2016 000 FONT13 KNHC 231432 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM LISA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132016 1500 UTC FRI SEP 23 2016 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LISA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 36.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
Sites : [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] [13] [14] [15] [16] [17] [18] next »