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Tropical Storm Hilary Wind Speed Probabilities Number 36

2017-07-30 10:50:01| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC SUN JUL 30 2017 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 300849 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM HILARY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 36 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092017 0900 UTC SUN JUL 30 2017 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HILARY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 124.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 25N 125W 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 25N 130W 34 X 6( 6) 7(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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Summary for Tropical Storm Hilary (EP4/EP092017)

2017-07-30 10:49:31| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...HILARY CONTINUES TO WEAKEN OVER COOL WATER... As of 2:00 AM PDT Sun Jul 30 the center of Hilary was located near 23.5, -124.7 with movement WNW at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1003 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.

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Tropical Storm Hilary Public Advisory Number 36

2017-07-30 10:49:31| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 200 AM PDT Sun Jul 30 2017 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 300849 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Hilary Advisory Number 36 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092017 200 AM PDT Sun Jul 30 2017 ...HILARY CONTINUES TO WEAKEN OVER COOL WATER... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.5N 124.7W ABOUT 940 MI...1510 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Hilary was located near latitude 23.5 North, longitude 124.7 West. Hilary is moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue during the next day or two. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Hilary is expected to become a remnant low late today or tonight. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Brown

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Tropical Storm Hilary Forecast Advisory Number 36

2017-07-30 10:48:58| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC SUN JUL 30 2017 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 300848 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM HILARY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 36 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092017 0900 UTC SUN JUL 30 2017 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 124.7W AT 30/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 75SW 105NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 124.7W AT 30/0900Z AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 124.1W FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 24.4N 126.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 25.4N 129.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 26.0N 131.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 26.3N 132.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.5N 124.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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