je.st

Home › hilary

Tag: hilary

Tropical Storm HILARY Wind Speed Probabilities Number 31

2017-07-29 04:33:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC SAT JUL 29 2017 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 290233 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM HILARY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 31 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092017 0300 UTC SAT JUL 29 2017 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HILARY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 120.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 20N 120W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 20N 120W 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 25N 120W 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 20N 125W 34 2 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 25N 125W 34 1 3( 4) 13(17) 3(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) 25N 130W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 11(15) 1(16) X(16) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE

Tags: number speed wind storm

Summary for Tropical Storm HILARY (EP4/EP092017)

2017-07-29 04:32:52| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...HILARY A BIT STRONGER BUT SHOULD WEAKEN THIS WEEKEND... As of 8:00 PM PDT Fri Jul 28 the center of HILARY was located near 20.3, -120.1 with movement NW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 992 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 70 mph.

Tags: summary storm tropical hilary

Tropical Storm HILARY Public Advisory Number 31

2017-07-29 04:32:52| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 800 PM PDT Fri Jul 28 2017 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 290232 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Hilary Advisory Number 31 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092017 800 PM PDT Fri Jul 28 2017 ...HILARY A BIT STRONGER BUT SHOULD WEAKEN THIS WEEKEND... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.3N 120.1W ABOUT 680 MI...1090 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Hilary was located near latitude 20.3 North, longitude 120.1 West. Hilary is moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Some weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Hilary is forecast to decay into a remnant low late this weekend. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.30 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Blake

Tags: number public storm advisory

Tropical Storm HILARY Forecast Advisory Number 31

2017-07-29 04:32:52| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC SAT JUL 29 2017 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 290232 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM HILARY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092017 0300 UTC SAT JUL 29 2017 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 120.1W AT 29/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 105SE 105SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 120.1W AT 29/0300Z AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 119.7W FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 21.1N 121.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 22.3N 123.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 23.6N 125.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 24.7N 127.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 25.8N 131.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 26.5N 132.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N 120.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE

Tags: number storm advisory tropical