je.st

Home › cristobal

Tag: cristobal

Summary for Hurricane CRISTOBAL (AT4/AL042014)

2014-08-28 10:32:22| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...CRISTOBAL EXPECTED TO MOVE RAPIDLY TOWARD THE NORTH ATLANTIC BETWEEN BERMUDA AND NOVA SCOTIA TODAY... As of 5:00 AM AST Thu Aug 28 the center of CRISTOBAL was located near 35.6, -67.8 with movement NE at 29 mph. The minimum central pressure was 985 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 75 mph.

Tags: summary hurricane cristobal

Hurricane CRISTOBAL Public Advisory Number 19

2014-08-28 10:32:22| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 500 AM AST THU AUG 28 2014 000 WTNT34 KNHC 280832 TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE CRISTOBAL ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042014 500 AM AST THU AUG 28 2014 ...CRISTOBAL EXPECTED TO MOVE RAPIDLY TOWARD THE NORTH ATLANTIC BETWEEN BERMUDA AND NOVA SCOTIA TODAY... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...35.6N 67.8W ABOUT 285 MI...460 KM NW OF BERMUDA ABOUT 660 MI...1060 KM SSW OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 29 MPH...46 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.8 WEST. CRISTOBAL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 29 MPH...46 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF CRISTOBAL WILL RAPIDLY MOVE TOWARD THE NORTH ATLANTIC WELL AWAY FROM BERMUDA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AND PASS WELL SOUTH OF NOVA SCOTIA LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC BY FRIDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA AND PORTIONS OF THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO LONG ISLAND...AND WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD TO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND TODAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE STILL POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM AST. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER AVILA

Tags: number public advisory hurricane

Hurricane CRISTOBAL Wind Speed Probabilities Number 19

2014-08-28 10:32:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC THU AUG 28 2014 000 FONT14 KNHC 280832 PWSAT4 HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042014 0900 UTC THU AUG 28 2014 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) 52(52) 3(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) 13(13) 4(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X 1( 1) 9(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SABLE ISLAND 34 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BERMUDA 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER AVILA

Tags: number speed wind hurricane

Hurricane CRISTOBAL Forecast Advisory Number 19

2014-08-28 10:31:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC THU AUG 28 2014 000 WTNT24 KNHC 280831 TCMAT4 HURRICANE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042014 0900 UTC THU AUG 28 2014 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.6N 67.8W AT 28/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 25 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 50SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 100SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT.......180NE 180SE 60SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..280NE 300SE 190SW 200NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.6N 67.8W AT 28/0900Z AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.8N 69.0W FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 37.8N 63.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 90NE 100SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT...180NE 200SE 80SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 41.5N 55.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 0NW. 50 KT... 90NE 130SE 80SW 30NW. 34 KT...210NE 250SE 130SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 46.0N 47.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 60SE 30SW 0NW. 50 KT...120NE 140SE 110SW 80NW. 34 KT...210NE 260SE 180SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 50.0N 40.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT...120NE 170SE 150SW 140NW. 34 KT...220NE 270SE 200SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 59.5N 28.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT...160NE 180SE 180SW 160NW. 34 KT...250NE 320SE 280SW 220NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 63.0N 21.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z...ABSORBED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.6N 67.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA

Tags: number advisory forecast hurricane