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Hurricane CRISTOBAL Public Advisory Number 17A
2014-08-28 01:55:50| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 800 PM EDT WED AUG 27 2014 000 WTNT34 KNHC 272355 TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE CRISTOBAL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042014 800 PM EDT WED AUG 27 2014 ...CRISTOBAL PASSING BETWEEN BERMUDA AND CAPE HATTERAS... SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...33.3N 70.7W ABOUT 350 MI...560 KM WNW OF BERMUDA ABOUT 305 MI...490 KM SE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.7 WEST. CRISTOBAL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/H. A CONTINUED NORTHEASTWARD MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF CRISTOBAL WILL PASS WELL TO THE NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA ON THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC FRIDAY NIGHT. CRISTOBAL HAS A LARGE WIND FIELD. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM. NOAA BUOY 41048...LOCATED ABOUT 115 MILES...190 KM...SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER OF CRISTOBAL...RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 51 MPH...83 KM/H...AND A WIND GUST OF 60 MPH...97 KM/H. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA AND PORTIONS OF THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO LONG ISLAND...AND WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD TO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND TOMORROW. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. RAINFALL...CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER BERMUDA. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA THROUGH TONIGHT. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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Hurricane CRISTOBAL Graphics
2014-08-27 22:33:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 27 Aug 2014 20:33:49 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 27 Aug 2014 20:31:44 GMT
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Summary for Hurricane CRISTOBAL (AT4/AL042014)
2014-08-27 22:31:50| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...CRISTOBAL PASSING BETWEEN BERMUDA AND CAPE HATTERAS... As of 5:00 PM EDT Wed Aug 27 the center of CRISTOBAL was located near 32.7, -71.4 with movement NNE at 15 mph. The minimum central pressure was 984 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 75 mph.
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Hurricane CRISTOBAL Public Advisory Number 17
2014-08-27 22:31:50| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM EDT WED AUG 27 2014 000 WTNT34 KNHC 272031 TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE CRISTOBAL ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042014 500 PM EDT WED AUG 27 2014 ...CRISTOBAL PASSING BETWEEN BERMUDA AND CAPE HATTERAS... SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.7N 71.4W ABOUT 385 MI...620 KM W OF BERMUDA ABOUT 290 MI...470 KM SE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.4 WEST. CRISTOBAL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A FURTHER INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK THE CENTER OF CRISTOBAL WILL PASS WELL WEST OF BERMUDA TONIGHT. DATA FROM NOAA AND AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC FRIDAY NIGHT. CRISTOBAL HAS A LARGE WIND FIELD. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM. NOAA BUOY 41048...LOCATED ABOUT 120 MILES...195 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER OF CRISTOBAL...RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 40 MPH...65 KM/H...AND A WIND GUST OF 49 MPH...79 KM/H. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA AND PORTIONS OF THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO LONG ISLAND...AND WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD TO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND TOMORROW. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. RAINFALL...CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER BERMUDA. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA THROUGH TONIGHT. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM EDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
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Hurricane CRISTOBAL Forecast Advisory Number 17
2014-08-27 22:31:21| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC WED AUG 27 2014 000 WTNT24 KNHC 272031 TCMAT4 HURRICANE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042014 2100 UTC WED AUG 27 2014 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.7N 71.4W AT 27/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 100SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT.......180NE 180SE 60SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 360SE 190SW 220NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.7N 71.4W AT 27/2100Z AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.1N 72.0W FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 34.4N 69.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 90NE 100SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT...180NE 200SE 80SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 37.3N 63.7W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 0NW. 50 KT... 90NE 130SE 80SW 30NW. 34 KT...210NE 245SE 130SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 41.0N 55.3W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 60SE 30SW 0NW. 50 KT... 90NE 130SE 90SW 40NW. 34 KT...210NE 260SE 180SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 45.3N 47.8W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT...120NE 150SE 90SW 90NW. 34 KT...210NE 270SE 180SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 53.5N 34.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT...110NE 140SE 140SW 140NW. 34 KT...180NE 240SE 220SW 180NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 60.0N 27.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z...ABSORBED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.7N 71.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
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