je.st
news
Tag: gaston
Hurricane GASTON Wind Speed Probabilities Number 26
2016-08-29 04:46:34| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC MON AUG 29 2016 000 FONT12 KNHC 290246 PWSAT2 HURRICANE GASTON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 26 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072016 0300 UTC MON AUG 29 2016 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GASTON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 105 KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SANTA CRUZ AZO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 18(23) SANTA CRUZ AZO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) SANTA CRUZ AZO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) PONTA DELGADA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Tags: number
speed
wind
hurricane
Summary for Hurricane GASTON (AT2/AL072016)
2016-08-29 04:46:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...GASTON STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE... As of 11:00 PM AST Sun Aug 28 the center of GASTON was located near 30.6, -55.2 with movement Stationary. The minimum central pressure was 957 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 120 mph.
Tags: summary
hurricane
gaston
at2al072016
Hurricane GASTON Public Advisory Number 26
2016-08-29 04:46:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST SUN AUG 28 2016 000 WTNT32 KNHC 290245 TCPAT2 BULLETIN HURRICANE GASTON ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072016 1100 PM AST SUN AUG 28 2016 ...GASTON STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.6N 55.2W ABOUT 575 MI...930 KM E OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...957 MB...28.26 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Gaston was located near latitude 30.6 North, longitude 55.2 West. Gaston is stationary, but a slow northward motion is expected overnight and on Monday. A turn toward the northeast or east-northeast with some increase in forward speed is forecast on Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 120 mph (195 km/h) with higher gusts. Gaston is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some slow weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 957 mb (28.26 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: number
public
advisory
hurricane
Hurricane GASTON Forecast Advisory Number 26
2016-08-29 04:46:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC MON AUG 29 2016 000 WTNT22 KNHC 290245 TCMAT2 HURRICANE GASTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072016 0300 UTC MON AUG 29 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 55.2W AT 29/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 0 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 957 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT.......120NE 120SE 50SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..220NE 150SE 120SW 190NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 55.2W AT 29/0300Z AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 55.2W FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 30.9N 55.4W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 31.4N 54.9W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 80SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 32.1N 53.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 140SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 33.0N 51.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 150SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 35.5N 46.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 150SE 100SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 37.4N 38.7W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 37.7N 33.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.6N 55.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Tags: number
advisory
forecast
hurricane
Hurricane GASTON Forecast Discussion Number 25
2016-08-28 22:35:08| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM AST SUN AUG 28 2016 000 WTNT42 KNHC 282034 TCDAT2 HURRICANE GASTON DISCUSSION NUMBER 25 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072016 500 PM AST SUN AUG 28 2016 The 15 n mi diameter eye has become more distinct on visible satellite images today, and enhanced IR images show a cooling of the cloud tops surrounding the eye. These features indicate strengthening, and the current intensity is increased to 100 kt in agreement with the subjective Dvorak estimates from TAFB and SAB, as well as objective ADT numbers from UW-CIMSS. Upper-level outflow is well-established both to the west and the east of the hurricane. Based on a consensus of the intensity models, not much additional strengthening is anticipated. When Gaston moves to a little higher latitude, westerly shear on the system should increase, and steady weakening is expected to commence in about 48 hours. Gaston continues to crawl northwestward while being partially blocked by a narrow mid-level subtropical ridge. The hurricane is forecast to work its way through the ridge over the next day or so. By Tuesday, an east-northeastward motion with gradual acceleration is likely as the system begins to feel the effect of the mid-latitude westerlies. The official forecast track is shifted a little southward late in the forecast period, in line with the latest global model guidance. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 28/2100Z 30.8N 55.1W 100 KT 115 MPH 12H 29/0600Z 31.0N 55.5W 100 KT 115 MPH 24H 29/1800Z 31.4N 55.5W 100 KT 115 MPH 36H 30/0600Z 32.0N 54.4W 95 KT 110 MPH 48H 30/1800Z 32.8N 52.6W 95 KT 110 MPH 72H 31/1800Z 34.9N 47.7W 85 KT 100 MPH 96H 01/1800Z 37.5N 40.5W 75 KT 85 MPH 120H 02/1800Z 37.5N 33.5W 60 KT 70 MPH $$ Forecaster Pasch
Tags: number
discussion
forecast
hurricane
Sites : [20] [21] [22] [23] [24] [25] [26] [27] [28] [29] [30] [31] [32] [33] [34] [35] [36] [37] [38] [39] next »