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Hurricane GASTON Forecast Advisory Number 24
2016-08-28 16:34:34| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN AUG 28 2016 000 WTNT22 KNHC 281434 TCMAT2 HURRICANE GASTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072016 1500 UTC SUN AUG 28 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.5N 54.8W AT 28/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT.......120NE 120SE 50SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 150SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.5N 54.8W AT 28/1500Z AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.3N 54.7W FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 30.8N 55.3W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 31.2N 55.6W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 120SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 31.6N 55.1W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 90SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 32.4N 53.7W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 34.3N 49.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 70SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 150SE 120SW 110NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 36.5N 44.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 38.5N 36.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.5N 54.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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Hurricane GASTON Graphics
2016-08-28 11:11:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 28 Aug 2016 08:54:21 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 28 Aug 2016 09:06:40 GMT
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Summary for Hurricane GASTON (AT2/AL072016)
2016-08-28 10:53:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...GASTON CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN... As of 5:00 AM AST Sun Aug 28 the center of GASTON was located near 30.1, -54.6 with movement NW at 6 mph. The minimum central pressure was 975 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 90 mph.
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Hurricane GASTON Public Advisory Number 23
2016-08-28 10:53:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST SUN AUG 28 2016 000 WTNT32 KNHC 280853 TCPAT2 BULLETIN HURRICANE GASTON ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072016 500 AM AST SUN AUG 28 2016 ...GASTON CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.1N 54.6W ABOUT 620 MI...1000 KM E OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Gaston was located near latitude 30.1 North, longitude 54.6 West. Gaston is moving toward the northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h). A slow northwestward motion is expected through tonight, followed by a slow northward or northeastward motion Monday and Monday night. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 975 mb (28.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Brown
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Hurricane GASTON Wind Speed Probabilities Number 23
2016-08-28 10:53:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN AUG 28 2016 000 FONT12 KNHC 280853 PWSAT2 HURRICANE GASTON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072016 0900 UTC SUN AUG 28 2016 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GASTON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SANTA CRUZ AZO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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